March 20: Prediction markets show two high-win-rate addresses invested $9,700 in betting "No" on the event "Will the U.S. military invade Iran," with the current probability of "No" at 40%. Trump stated during a meeting with the Japanese Prime Minister that he would not deploy U.S. military forces, while the Defense Secretary reiterated U.S. military objectives. Trader behavior indicates short-term arbitrage rather than actual event outcome bets.

Market analyst Jared Blikre points out that a global fund manager survey released by Bank of America shows that large institutional investors have increased their positions in emerging market equities and commodities, while reducing their US dollar holdings. Powell's remarks have significant impact on market trends. If the US dollar index breaks through 100, it will increase investment pressure, while the opposite would support emerging market development.

American stocks rose modestly driven by macroeconomic data and corporate earnings reports, with investors showing increased risk appetite for equity assets. Cryptocurrency-related stocks showed divergent performance, particularly with COIN and MSTR's trading characteristics closely correlating with Bitcoin price fluctuations. Although U.S. stocks remained strong overall with rapid capital inflows, crypto stocks would still exhibit high volatility if Bitcoin failed to establish a trending market.

Industry analyst Patrick Moorhead released an analysis report focusing on Nvidia's GTC 2026 presentation, exploring whether it can showcase a collaboration roadmap for GPUs, accelerators, and CPUs. Success would mark a transformation, while failure would benefit cloud providers in self-developed chips. The report confirms multiple facts and predicts the presentation will introduce the NemoClaw platform and Feynman architecture roadmap, while pointing out risks including Groq integration, energy constraints, and market share.

Gate News reports that on March 13, ElizaOS founder Shaw tweeted accusing law firm Burwick Law of failing to help victims recover any funds to date, and charged Burwick Law with publicly defaming the project, claiming it had not held any token supply until receiving donations. In response, Burwick Law stated it would preserve all of Shaw's tweets attacking and threatening the law firm.