"Market Analysis on 12.2: Two Tests Completed, Discussion on Rebound Height This Week" Yesterday's market successfully rebounded from the bottom at 84,000-83,000, as discussed last week. The trend here can basically confirm that the second test is complete, and this week we will begin the rebound rhythm. As for the height of the rebound, we need to discuss it one by one. The rebound height of the big pie this week can first pay attention to the pressure levels on the 4-hour chart at 88500 and 89500. Firstly, 88500 is the position where the support and resistance levels interchange on the 4-hour chart, which I have marked with an arrow. This is definitely a key position. If it can't go up, it just can't go up; if it can go up, we still need to see the pressure at 89500. Today's support is at 88500; if it doesn't break below, it will continue to rebound. The pressure on the index is at 136 and 142, so let's first look at the position of 136. If the support at 125 is not broken on the way down today, it can continue to rebound. $BTC Ethereum we mentioned yesterday that if it breaks below 2800, it would rebound to 2720. It rebounded around this area yesterday and has come back up. Today's support is at 2760; if it doesn't break below, it will continue to rebound. The upper resistance levels are 2865 and 2960. A conservative short position should be around 2960. In summary, today's various indicators tell us that the second exploration has basically succeeded. Since the bottom has been confirmed successfully, the next step is to test the top. The key is to see whether several key positions can hold firm, or if they will break down upon touching these key positions. This is something to observe this week. Overall, the market in December should go through repeated fluctuations. For those who have bought at the bottom, there is no need to be overly ambitious; if it fluctuates too much, your efforts will be in vain. $SOL (Follow the head of the department, bringing you the latest market analysis and precise entry points every day. Long and short positions are only for B friends' reference, with strict stop-loss and take-profit.)

#特朗普加密货币政策新方向 Tomorrow at 3 AM, another big event will happen. The White House has just confirmed that a former president will make an announcement at this time. The timing is quite strange - it coincides perfectly with the Fed's blackout period, and economic data has not yet been released. Now everyone in the circle is guessing three things: Will he initiate another trade war? Is the position of the central bank's head going to change? The most critical question - will the attitude towards crypto assets suddenly shift? To be honest, sending this kind of thing in the middle of the night already indicates a problem. Traders will probably have to stay up all night watching the market. Volatility can sometimes have a greater impact from expectations than from the actual news. $BTC Friends with positions, remember to set your stop loss.

Yesterday, many people expressed dissatisfaction with @RaylsLabs's TGE, and the voices of counter-attack were continuous. Let's take a look at the market after yesterday's TGE. The current fundamentals of $RLS are: Total supply of 10 billion coins, initial circulation of 1.5 billion coins(15%), current market value $37.9M, FDV $252M, fully diluted valuation $254.09M. Main Network: Ethereum ( Main Chain ) + BNB Chain ( Cross-Chain Deployment ) The current single coin price is 0.025 Public sale price: 0.0175 (profit) Of course, the temporary token price is not the focus; the key point is whether the "flywheel effect" that has been overused by too many projects can be realized. The flywheel of Rayls is simply and straightforwardly: as long as institutions use it, the token price will rise. The logic of Rayls is very simple. Whether it's JPMorgan or the Central Bank of Brazil, as long as they conduct business on the RLS privacy chain, they must purchase $RLS to pay for fees, and 50% of the fee revenue will be directly burned. This design is quite straightforward; it's not a buyback, it's not locking up, but rather a permanent destruction, which means that every institutional transaction is reducing the total supply. There is still 50% flowing into the staking reward pool, incentivizing token holders to lock liquidity. The more locked, the less circulation, the stronger the price support, and the more attractive the staking APY. These interconnected gears form an infinite momentum that drives the token price to continuously rise. However, a key issue that all flywheel effects must face, and which is the core variable determining whether the price of $RLS can take off, is the actual institutional trading volume. Without trading volume, there is no fee income; without fee income, both the burn and staking rewards are just running in place; a flywheel that runs in place will only slow down under the pressure of unlocking and eventually come to a halt. So, the real test of the flywheel comes from the market validation after the product launch. Let's look forward to @RaylsLabs's performance. Yesterday, there was significant dissatisfaction among many participants regarding the Token Generation Event (TGE) of @RaylsLabs, with widespread calls for "reverse rug pulls." Today, let’s analyze the current fundamentals of $RLS post-TGE: Total Supply: 100 billion tokens Initial Circulating Supply: 15 billion tokens (15%) Current Market Cap: $37.9M Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV): $252M Chains: Ethereum (mainnet) + BNB Chain (cross-chain deployment) Current Token Price: $0.025 Public Sale Price: $0.0175 (profitable for early buyers) While the token price is not the immediate focus, the critical question is whether the overused concept of the "flywheel effect" can be successfully implemented here. Rayls’ flywheel mechanism is straightforward: institutional adoption drives price appreciation. The logic is simple: Whether it’s JPMorgan, the Central Bank of Brazil, or any other institution, if they conduct transactions on Rayls’ privacy chain, they must purchase $RLS to pay fees. 50% of these fees are permanently burned, reducing the total supply. The remaining 50% are allocated to the staking rewards pool, incentivizing holders to lock their tokens and reduce circulating supply. This creates a self-reinforcing cycle: reduced supply supports price, higher staking APY attracts more participants, and the flywheel spins faster. However, the Achilles’ heel of any flywheel model—and the core determinant of $RLS’s price potential—is genuine institutional transaction volume. Without real transactions, there are no fees; without fees, the burn mechanism and staking rewards stall. An idle flywheel, coupled with unlock pressures, risks grinding to a halt. The true test lies in post-launch market validation. Let’s eagerly await @RaylsLabs’ performance in the coming months.