Crypto Macro News and Global Policy Updates

Grayscale signals digital asset treasuries are stabilizing after a crypto equity reset, as firms deploy structural reforms, yield strategies, and diversification to rebuild confidence and strengthen long-term positioning across institutional crypto markets. Crypto Treasury Firms Regain

Speaker MB Ghalibaf of the Iranian Parliament warned investors of market manipulation tied to the US-Iran war, advising them to trade against misleading narratives. His comments sparked mixed reactions online, highlighting the broader impact of geopolitical tensions on markets.

Ethereum (ETH) is currently facing structural challenges from the Tether stablecoin USDT, which has seen its market cap grow by 622.50% over five years, greatly surpassing ETH's 11.75%. The stablecoin market size has increased from $5 billion to $310 billion, indicating a rise in safe-haven demand. ETH is also affected by geopolitical and monetary policy factors, with institutional funds withdrawing, leading to a stagnant market cap growth. Technical analysis suggests that ETH could drop to $1,250, further widening the market cap gap with USDT.

Robert Kiyosaki points out that national debt and currency issuance will exacerbate inflation, while geopolitical conflicts may drive up oil prices. He emphasizes that personal financial awareness and asset allocation are crucial in the current economic environment, holding a positive view on gold, silver, oil, and cryptocurrency.

Coin Center Executive Director Van Valkenburgh warned that if the CLARITY Act fails to pass, the U.S. government may crack down on cryptocurrency in the absence of clear rules. He emphasized that the current administration's friendly stance has no legal binding, and the lack of legislative protection will increase the legal risks faced by the industry, criticizing operators for focusing only on short-term gains. The bill is stalled in the Senate, mainly due to conflicts of interest between the banking sector and crypto companies.

The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is escalating, with the U.S. intending to seize Iranian oil. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has caused oil prices to surge to $115, impacting the global economy. Taiwan's stock market plummeted by over 600 points, and inflation concerns are reshaping market monetary policy expectations, with experts warning of an increased risk of economic recession. The energy market is volatile, and the performance of safe-haven assets is mixed, with gold experiencing a sharp decline, while Bitcoin remains relatively stable, though it still lags behind other assets in the long term.

Gate News reports that on March 30, according to Punchbowl, two sources familiar with the plans revealed that the Senate Banking Committee intends to hold a nomination hearing for Kevin Wash to become the Chair of the Federal Reserve as early as the week of April 13. The exact date remains uncertain and will depend on whether Wash submits complete materials to the committee.

Oil prices broke above $100 on Monday due to a sharp rise in geopolitical risks, especially Trump's tough rhetoric towards Iran. Crypto analyst Willy Woo warned that Bitcoin's on-chain capital outflow may fall to between $46,000 and $54,000. If the global macro market structure breaks down, the crypto market faces a deeper bear market risk. Trump's negotiation moves and the strategic importance of Hark Island have heightened market uncertainty and affected global oil prices and asset liquidity.

El Salvador's Bitcoin reserves have increased to 7,605.37 coins, worth approximately $506 million. Analysts point out that losses for short-term Bitcoin holders are widening, with the MVRV indicator in bear market territory. Brother Ma's losses have reached $31.3 million. Walmart's payment platform OnePay has added support for various cryptocurrencies. Gnosis and Zisk have launched an Ethereum economic zone Rollup framework.

The U.S. non-farm payroll report for March is about to be released, with the market expecting an increase of around 48,000 jobs. The ongoing conflict in Iran continues to impact oil prices and inflation, pushing the market's expectations from rate cuts to rate hikes. Analysts point out that strong non-farm data could further solidify the consensus on high interest rates, affecting the performance of risk assets.

The White House has privately informed allies that the diplomatic agreement between the U.S. and Iran will take time, and military actions are expected to continue for 2 to 4 weeks. Iran is skeptical about the agreement and believes that high energy prices give it an advantage, expressing doubts about the timeline for the end of fighting with the U.S. and Israel.

Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf questioned Trump's trading strategy TACO and suggested taking a reverse approach. The article analyzes the reasons for TACO's failure in the Iranian crisis, including the different nature of the opponents, the absence of the Supreme Leader, and the rising geopolitical risks, which have led to a decline in market confidence. Additionally, Ghalibaf also threatened that institutions purchasing U.S. Treasury bonds are "legitimate military targets," posing a new threat to the bond market.

On March 30, the prices of gold and silver fell to $4,448.19/ounce and $68.664/ounce, respectively. The volatility index for Bitcoin and Ethereum saw a slight increase. The US dollar remained steady against the Chinese yuan and fell against the Japanese yen. Global stock indices generally declined, while international crude oil prices rose.

Bitcoin prices remain weak, around $66,380 on March 30. The U.S. Kalshi prediction market is facing lawsuits, and Canada plans to ban cryptocurrency political donations entirely to reduce election risks. U.S. stocks have plummeted, with significant declines in tech stocks. Concerns over war and inflation have led to investor pessimism, and future attention must be paid to U.S. stock trends.

Gate News report, on March 30, the Nikkei 225 index (the benchmark index for the Japanese stock market) opened down 1338.99 points, a decrease of 2.51%, at 52034.08 points. The KOSPI index (the Korea Composite Stock Price Index) opened down 259.23 points, a decrease of 4.77%, at 5179.64 points.

Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor did not release a Bitcoin tracking post this week, leading the market to speculate that the company may pause its purchasing plan. Saylor emphasized the advantages of preferred stock STRC and revealed that the company has acquired approximately 90,831 Bitcoins since last year, with current holdings reaching 762,099 coins.

Bitcoin has fallen below $67,000, with a weekly decline of about 3%, influenced by U.S. military actions against Iran, along with outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and the return of interest rate hike expectations in pricing, leading to a fearful market sentiment. Increased miner sell-offs have been noted, but it is pointed out that demand-side expansion confirmation is needed to maintain a bullish outlook.

Trump stated that Iran has met most of the ceasefire demands, although substantial negotiations have not yet begun. Iran rejected the U.S. conditions for a ceasefire and proposed its own terms. Officials from various countries are trying to find a solution, but there are no signs of progress. Pakistan is willing to host subsequent negotiations.

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, AUDJPY (AUD/JPY) has dropped by 0.5% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market