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MICA Daily｜美國經濟數據不佳，BTC 再度下探 6.5 萬美元

区块客
bitcoin newsDaily Crypto NewsMarket AnalysisPrice VolatilityMacroeconomicsGlobal MarketsOn-Chain Data
BTC-0,9%

昨天晚上，美股指數、黃金白銀還有加密貨幣都在跌，BTC 在美國公布失業人數和房屋銷售數據後，累計跌了近 2,400 美元，再跌至 6.5 萬美元水平，而導致跌市的原因主要有四個：

  • 首次申領失業救濟人數高於預期，而且持續失業人數上升，顯示勞動市場疲軟。
  • 美國一月房屋銷售下降 8.4%，創近 4 年來最差表現，顯示經濟也在下滑
  • 美國政府又再可能面臨停擺，不利市場流動性和令經濟數據滯後
  • 亞洲地區下週農曆新年長假期，市場走勢不明朗下，亞洲投資機構提早避險

跟昨天的觀點一樣，BTC 必須要將 7.6 萬阻力轉為支撐，才能有條件挑戰 8 萬以上來打破下行趨勢，但隨著昨天 BTC 再度下探 6.5 萬美元，預計短期內目前的下跌趨勢將難以逆轉。雖然目前鏈上數據顯示有買盤趁低吸納，但期貨主導依然以做空為主，而且壓力相當龐大，加上流動性枯竭，目前現貨買盤也不足以扭轉這個局面。

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