2月11日消息，由于市场高度关注即将公布的美国1月非农就业数据和失业率，比特币价格在过去24小时内大幅回落至6.6万美元附近。美元与美债收益率同步波动，华尔街普遍认为就业人数可能回升，这将削弱美联储6月降息的可能性，从而对包括比特币在内的风险资产形成压力。
美国劳工统计局（BLS）今日将发布1月就业报告。经济学家预计，非农就业人数将增加约7万人，高于12月的5万，显示劳动力市场虽放缓但仍具韧性。预测区间从减少1万个岗位到增加13.5万个不等，失业率或维持在4.4%，平均时薪预计环比增长0.3%，年增速回落至3.6%。
在机构分歧中，JPMorgan Securities、Wells Fargo、UBS Group 和 Citigroup倾向于高于预期；而Goldman Sachs、JPMorgan Asset Management 与Morgan Stanley则判断数据偏弱。若结果强于预期，市场对降息的押注将进一步降温。CME FedWatch数据显示，美联储6月降息25个基点的概率接近50%。
与此同时，BLS还将公布年度修正值。此前估计截至2025年3月的12个月内，美国新增就业岗位可能比原先少91.1万个，这一调整将为经济前景再添不确定性。
截至发稿，比特币报66,898美元，日内区间为66,561至69,954美元。以太坊、XRP、BNB、SOL、ADA等主流加密资产同步回调。Michael Saylor、Anthony Scaramucci与CZ均表示，低迷阶段更适合长期布局而非恐慌抛售。
分析师Ted Pillows指出，BTC正处于关键支撑区，一旦失守，或测试6万美元一线。研究机构Kaiko则称，近期波动已引发约90亿美元清算，稳定币占比升至10%以上，但成交量下降显示散户情绪趋于谨慎。
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