BlockBeats 消息,2 月 9 日,《金融时报》发文表示,比特币可能经历过几十次大幅崩盘,可能有几百家加密公司倒闭,可能有无数人失去了毕生积蓄,但每次比特币下跌,它总会反弹。那些有能力的人能够坚持持有,而每次反弹带来的认知记忆让人们坚信自己崇拜的加密货币将永远存在。自诞生以来,比特币就一直在一条注定会以惨烈结局收场的道路上前行。
本周,比特币经历了自 2022 年以来最严重的崩盘,一度跌至约 6 万美元,抹去了自特朗普 2024 年连任以来的全部涨幅,自去年 10 月超过 12.7 万美元的历史高点起,跌幅超过一半。根据 Coinglass 的数据,仅从周四到周五的 24 小时内,就有约 12.5 亿美元的比特币头寸被强制平仓。
美国确实拥有最接近「比特币总统」的领导人,且其家族有加密资产利益。然而,即便设立了「战略比特币储备」、赦免了大量被定罪的加密罪犯、允许美国人将加密资产纳入 401(k) 养老金账户,并声称在上任前 200 天结束了前总统拜登的「加密战争」,特朗普在白宫的存在仍无法阻挡卖压。
我们可能还没有真正见到比特币的最终「死亡螺旋」;我也无法预测它何时会到来。仅凭信仰来判断投机狂潮的结束时间,是非常困难的,比特币可能仍会有几次反弹(截至写作时,它已反弹至约 7 万美元)。但信心开始消退。人们开始意识到,一个仅凭空想维系的资产,其价值根本没有底线。问问自己:这种东西在 100 年后还会存在吗?记住,「真正重要的不是你如何下跌,而是你如何落地」。
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