市场分析：满足市场大额换手、MVRV-Z分数低于0等三个条件后才会抄底建仓

GateNews

bitcoin news Market Analysis

Source: Odaily星球日报

2026-02-02 02:07:14

BTC-1,05%

BCH1,52%

Odaily星球日报讯憨厚的麦总在 X 平台发文表示，其已在 9 月降息前后清仓，并持续看空市场。其认为今年流动性不会变好，并继续看熊。其将在满足三个条件后才会抄底建立长期仓位：

二级市场出现绝对的大额换手交易量（投降）；
MVRV-Z 分数跌至 0 以下，当前该指标为 0.77；
出现类似 FTX 事件或 BCH 分叉的“BTC 投降性”事件。

其表示，已为市场再下跌 40-50%做准备，当上述条件满足时将会满仓进入。

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.