1月26日消息,Enso(ENSO)在衍生品市场掀起剧烈波动,过去24小时内触发约1167万美元的强制平仓,其中超过70%为空头仓位被扫,显示典型的空头挤压正在推动价格上行。与7天均值相比,这一清算规模放大了近五倍,也刷新了近期高位,凸显资金博弈已进入高风险阶段。
价格方面,ENSO在24小时内上涨38.3%,最近一周累计涨幅达到180%。同时,链上与市场数据表明交易活跃度急剧提升,日成交量增长约170%,未平仓合约在24小时内激增70%。不过现货CVD保持横盘,说明这轮拉升主要由杠杆驱动,而非长期资金持续买入。
部分交易员开始发出警告。Sardauna在X平台指出,ENSO短期涨幅过大,市场处于过度扩张状态,继续追高的风险显著上升。从技术面看,日线价格已突破此前的下降趋势线,0.844美元和1.178美元的关键位置被重新站稳,表明趋势正在向多头倾斜。但2美元上方仍是强阻力区,历史高点1.992美元和2.785美元尚未被有效突破。
在更短周期内,1小时图仍维持看涨结构,只要价格不跌破1.63美元,多头格局尚未被破坏。下方较为重要的支撑区间位于1.3美元、1.06美元以及0.72美元附近,一旦比特币继续走弱,这些区域可能会被测试。
对已经获利的投资者而言,逐步锁定利润是更稳健的策略;尚未入场的交易者则可等待价格回调至1美元附近再评估风险收益比。不过需要注意的是,在高杠杆与高波动并存的环境下,ENSO即便短线回调,也可能随时出现剧烈反抽,这使得风险管理比方向判断更加关键。
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