Solana 价格今日上涨约 4.2%,但整体走势依然疲软。该代币在过去一个月下跌了近 22%,最新的链上数据显示,长期持有者并未支撑此次反弹。
Solana 持有 1-2 年的群体本月一直在减持。HODL Waves 会追踪不同年龄段持有者的持币量,从而帮助识别哪些持有者正在增持或减持。10 月 20 日,持有 1-2 年 Solana 的群体持有 19.28% 的代币。到 11 月 19 日,这一数字下降至 17.24%。
对于通常在价格调整期间保持稳定的群体而言,这是一个显著的下降。这表明长期持有者并不认为近期 4.2% 的反弹是真正的趋势转变。他们的减持也发生在 Solana 价格持续疲软的一个月之后,这有助于解释他们为何没有再次开始增持。
这种行为直接挑战了 Solana 价格反转的预期。如果长期持有者认为反弹预示着真正的趋势转变,他们的持仓比例应该会稳定或上升,而不是下降。他们的谨慎态度显然与 Solana 目前面临的技术压力有关。只有 SOL 当日收盘价高于 143 美元时,反弹才具有真正的力度。否则,反转的说法仍然薄弱,长期持有者可能会继续保持谨慎。(BeinCrypto)
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