U.S. President Donald J. Trump announced today on social media that he has instructed the Secretary of War and other relevant government agencies to begin identifying and releasing all government files related to “aliens, extraterrestrial life, Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP), and Unidentified Flying Objects (UFO).” He emphasized that “all highly complex but extremely important information” will be disclosed, and stated, “God bless America.”
Trump’s statement quickly triggered market reactions. According to the decentralized prediction market Polymarket, the market price for “Will the United States confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life before 2027?” surged after the news, jumping from nearly 10% to around 20%, reaching a recent high.
(What is a prediction market? Polymarket beginner’s guide: betting methods, settlement processes, and risk analysis)
The rules of the bet state that as long as “the U.S. President, cabinet members, members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any federal agency” explicitly confirm the existence of “extraterrestrial life or its technology” before December 31, 2026, the market will settle as Yes; otherwise, it will settle as No.
Currently, no further details have been announced by officials, nor have any new files been made public. The market’s subsequent movement will depend on whether the U.S. government releases concrete evidence that can be regarded as a “definitive conclusion.”
This article, “Trump orders UFO files to be released, Polymarket ‘extraterrestrial life confirmation’ bet surges to 20%,” first appeared on Chain News ABMedia.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Stripe Co-Founder Confirms that Kalshi is Integrating Stripe Connect
Gate News, March 24 - Recently, Stripe co-founder John Collison and Paradigm co-founder Matt Huang held a video conversation with Kalshi co-founders Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara. During the conversation, the Stripe co-founder confirmed that prediction market platform Kalshi is integrating Stripe.
GateNews34m ago
Polymarket Data: The probability of Opensea issuing a token before September 30 drops to 33%
Gate News report: On March 24, the latest data from Polymarket shows that market odds on Opensea launching a token by September 30 this year have dropped to 33%, while the probability of a token launch by December 31 stands at 69%. The prediction market has currently reached a trading volume of $1.238 million.
GateNews1h ago
Polymarket Data: The market assigns a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady in April
Gate News report: On March 24, the latest Polymarket data shows that the market is pricing in a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in April this year, a 3% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike, and only a 1% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.
GateNews1h ago
Polymarket's odds for "Bitcoin drops to $65K in March" fall to 28%, down 27% in 24 hours
On March 24, Bitcoin rebounded to $71,000, causing the event probability of "Bitcoin falls to $65,000 in March" on Polymarket to drop to 28%. The probability of "Bitcoin falls to $60,000 in March" is 8%, while the probability of "rising to $80,000" is 9%. The current Bitcoin price is 71037.5 USDT, with a 24-hour gain of 0.29%.
GateNews1h ago
Kalshi Proposes Comprehensive Ban on Athletes and Politicians Participating in Related Market Trading
Crypto Finance reports that on March 24, according to Axios, US prediction market platform Kalshi announced it will upgrade its user access mechanism to proactively block sports-related individuals such as athletes, coaches, and officials from trading in their respective sports, while prohibiting political candidates from trading markets related to their own campaigns. This move aims to address mounting regulatory pressure on insider trading.
Polymarket has also introduced new rules that strictly prohibit the use of non-public information.
金色财经_3h ago
