Bitcoin Price Prediction: Here’s Why December 26 Could Mark a Turning Point for BTC

BTC5,29%

The Bitcoin price has been stuck in a range between $85,000 and $90,000 for weeks now, and a lot of traders are starting to feel restless. Every dip seems to stall and every bounce loses steam, on the surface, it looks like the market just can’t make up its mind. But according to NoLimit, this has very little to do with buyers or sellers losing conviction. What’s really holding Bitcoin in place is something far more mechanical: options-driven gamma exposure.

  • Why Gamma Has Kept BTC Trapped
  • December 26 Is the Inflection Point
  • What Determines Bitcoin’s Next Move

Why Gamma Has Kept BTC Trapped Looking at the gamma profile, there’s a clear reason why the BTC price keeps snapping back into the same zone.  Around $85,000 sits the largest concentration of put exposure, right at the area of maximum gamma. When Bitcoin drifts toward that level, dealers are forced to hedge by buying spot BTC.  That buying pressure absorbs sell orders and slows any downside momentum. This is why recent pullbacks haven’t turned into sharp breakdowns. It’s not strong demand stepping in, it’s hedging doing the work behind the scenes. On the flip side, the same dynamic exists near $90,000. Heavy call exposure in that area forces dealers to sell as price rises. That mechanical selling is what keeps rallies from going anywhere.  When you put it all together, it explains why the Bitcoin price has been stuck in such a tight range. The price keeps getting nudged back toward the middle, no matter what the news or short-term narratives look like. December 26 Is the Inflection Point This setup, however, isn’t permanent. A massive options expiry worth roughly $23 billion is scheduled for December 26, and it’s set to remove nearly half of the total gamma currently influencing Bitcoin’s price. Once that happens, the artificial forces keeping BTC pinned start to fade. There will be no more automatic buying below and no more forced selling above. The price will stop reacting to hedging flows and start responding to real buying and selling again.

🚨 DECEMBER 26: THE TURNING POINT

You already know, but Bitcoin has been stuck between $85k-$90k for weeks.

This range has nothing to do with buyers or sellers changing their mind.

It’s options mechanics doing the work.

But that changes in 48 HOURS.

Here is why:

This market… pic.twitter.com/mWpTujrF5d

— NoLimit (@NoLimitGains) December 24, 2025

That’s why NoLimit describes this moment as a turning point. When gamma pressure disappears, the range stops working. Read Also: Don’t Sell Your Altcoins at This Stage of the Cycle, Warns Crypto Veteran What Determines Bitcoin’s Next Move Where Bitcoin goes after the expiry depends largely on one thing: where spot price is trading when those hedging flows finally drop off.  If Bitcoin is hovering near the lower end of the range when that pressure disappears, there won’t be anything left to slow the downside, and momentum could start building lower. If the price is closer to the top of the range, removing that forced selling could finally give BTC room to break out. Either way, one thing is clear. The quiet, controlled price action Bitcoin has shown for weeks probably isn’t going to last much longer. Once gamma stops dominating the market, volatility tends to return, and when it does, the next move may come faster than many expect. For traders watching closely, December 26 could be the moment Bitcoin starts moving on real conviction again.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Iran to Implement Bitcoin Payment for Tanker Transit Tolls

Gate News message, according to the Financial Times, Hosseini stated that Iran will charge tanker transit tolls in Bitcoin. This marks a shift in the country's payment methods for maritime transit fees.

GateNews8m ago

Cango discloses selling 2,000 BTC in March, and its Bitcoin holdings drop to 1,025.69 BTC

Gate News , April 8, U.S.-listed Bitcoin miner Cango released a March operational update report. The report shows that in March, the company produced 27.98 BTC from self-mining and completed a strategic sale of 2,000 bitcoins, with the proceeds used to repay BTC-backed loans. As of the end of March, the company’s outstanding Bitcoin-backed loan total was $30.6 million, and its Bitcoin reserves fell to 1,025.69 BTC.

GateNews33m ago

Bitcoin ETF Sees Bank-Level Players: A Deep Dive into Morgan Stanley MSBT Listing

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Spot ETF (MSBT) began trading on the NYSE Arca on April 8, becoming the first large commercial bank in the U.S. to launch a Bitcoin ETF. The 0.14% fee rate set a new market low record.

InstantTrends39m ago

BlackRock transferred 8,513 ETH and about 417 BTC to a certain CEX, with a total value of approximately $49 million

Gate News, on April 8, according to data monitored by Arkham, about an hour ago, BlackRock transferred 8,513 ETH worth $19.14 million to a certain CEX address via its Ethereum exchange-traded fund ETHA; additionally, it transferred 416.654 BTC worth $29.86 million to a certain CEX address via its Bitcoin exchange-traded fund IBIT.

GateNews58m ago

Exodus Movement 3 月末 BTC 持有量增至 628 枚,SOL 增至 17,541 枚

Gate News message. On April 8, publicly listed self-custody crypto company Exodus Movement released updated data on its digital asset holdings as of the end of March. The data shows that the company’s Bitcoin holdings increased to 628 coins (a net monthly gain of 18 BTC), its Ethereum holdings increased to 1,857 coins (a net monthly gain of 17 ETH), and its Solana holdings increased to 17,541 coins (a net monthly gain of 1,847 SOL).

GateNews58m ago

Bitcoin buyers gobbled up nearly 850,000 BTC between $60,000 and $70,000

Despite recent fluctuations, Bitcoin's strong dip demand is evident as 1.84 million BTC was traded below $70,000, representing 9.23% of its circulating supply, indicating potential price support. In contrast, trading activity above $70,000 remains lower.

CoinDesk1h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments