On September 26, the crypto KOL Ansem posted that "I believe the green line (Bitcoin rebounds and breaks new highs after falling to $105,000) has a 15% probability, the blue line (Bitcoin rebounds after falling to around $90,000) has a 60% probability, and the red line (falls to around $75,000) has a 20% probability."
If Bitcoin falls below $100,000 this year and early 2026, buy as much as possible and sell at a higher price in 2028. I also agree that the "four-year cycle" is no longer applicable, but I believe it will remain in a bear market longer than some analysts expect, with a longer downturn, and the upward trend will start to significantly kick in around the second quarter of 2026.
In the worst-case scenario, if an economic recession really occurs, Bitcoin could fall to $50,000 (5% probability).

According to the data, long-term holders have realized a profit of 3.4 million Bitcoins, and the market may face a deeper pullback. The current Bitcoin price has fallen below $112,000, reaching a weekly low of $108,700, and analysts warn that it may pull back to $107,500.

[Coin World] September 26, 2025 4:36 AM ( UTC ), a certain trading platform's Token fell below 940 USDT, current price 939.799988 USDT, 24-hour fall narrowed to 5.15%.

[Coin World] The Tesla owner club collaborates with a DEX based on Solana, allowing users to convert idle space into community-shared electric vehicle charging stations.

[Block Rhythm] On September 26, according to monitoring, 5 hours ago, a certain whale dumped the last 164,000 LINK (3.35 million USD) in their account at an average price of 20.42 USD, having made a total profit of 899,000 USD from holding LINK for 6 months.

[Bitu] According to monitoring by the data platform, the Whale Address 0xc6f7…e187 recently sold 163,990 LINK for a total amount of 3.32 million USD at an average price of 20.24 USD; at the same time, it dumped 1,074 stETH for a total amount of 4.2 million USD at an average transaction price of 3,917 USD, cashing out approximately 7.54 million USD.

At the 221st Ethereum developer meeting, the upgrade of the Fusaka Testnet was discussed, which is expected to be activated on October 1st. Currently, there are 4 client teams that have not released the relevant versions. After the upgrade, the Mainnet Gas limit will be adjusted to 60 million Gas, and EthPandaOps will launch the Holesky shadow fork.

Trump signed an executive order approving TikTok to continue operations in the U.S. The new joint venture will be controlled by Americans to protect user data and national security, with ByteDance holding less than 20%.

On September 26, according to data platform monitoring, yesterday ETHE had a net outflow of 30.3 million USD, ETHW had a net outflow of 27.6 million USD, Grayscale ETH had a net outflow of 26.1 million USD; EZET had a net outflow of 3 million USD; TETH had a net outflow of 2.4 million USD; ETHV had a net outflow of 1.4 million USD.

[Block Rhythm] On September 26, according to monitoring, yesterday BITB had a net outflow of 80.5 million USD, ARKB had a net outflow of 63 million USD, GBTC had a net outflow of 42.9 million USD, Grayscale BTC had a net outflow of 15.5 million USD, HODL had a net outflow of 10.1 million USD, and EZBC had a net outflow of 6.3 million USD.

U.S. financial regulators are investigating abnormal trading of stocks of companies attempting to make Crypto Assets a core strategy, concerned about the volume and Fluctuation of stock trading before the announcement is made. Lawyers point out that this could trigger an in-depth investigation into insider trading.

IBM expects its Starling fault-tolerant system to achieve a significant increase in computing power, surpassing existing Quantum Computers by 20,000 times before 2029. Although breaking Bitcoin encryption requires high-quality Quantum Bits, it is still necessary to remain vigilant about the quantum threats faced by Crypto Assets and to plan for migration in advance.

[Coin World] On September 26, the major US stock indices continued their downward trend, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices both falling more than 1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.7%. This decline reflects the ongoing market Fluctuation.

[Coin World] As Pepeto (PEPETO) emerges as a potential challenger to DOGE, the race for the next generation of meme coins intensifies. Pepeto raised over $6.8 million in its presale at a price of $0.000000155. The project stands out with its zero-fee trading exchange PepetoSwap and an annual staking reward of 225%. Analysts suggest that if PEPETO reaches its current price of $0.00001094, early investors could see a return of 6,170%. Meanwhile, PENGU coin maintains a weekly rise of 20%, and PUMP coin continues to leverage Solana's meme ecosystem. Pepeto attracts those looking for a combination of low entry price and practical features.

[Coin World] Juicebox is an artificial intelligence recruitment platform founded by David Paffenholz and Ishan Gupta, which has currently raised $36 million, including $30 million in Series A funding led by Sequoia Capital. This startup's PeopleGPT search engine uses natural language processing technology to analyze professional talent profiles and identify qualified candidates, serving over 2,500 clients including OpenAI and Ramp, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) exceeding $10 million. Sequoia Capital partner David Cahn noted that the platform can help companies recruit without professional recruiters and predicts that Juicebox could become the default recruitment tool for startups.

On September 26, Centrifuge launched the first S&P 500 index fund licensed on the Blockchain, open to on-chain investors. The fund is named Janus Henderson Anemoy S&P 500 Fund (abbreviated as SPXA) and went live on the Base network on Thursday.

[Coin World] Following the historic rise of DOGE by 36,000%, three emerging projects are attracting attention: one platform offers 125x leverage for high-risk traders in Perpetual Futures; another platform supports the creation of meme Tokens on Solana, with the potential for viral spread; a third platform provides DeFi lending with a loan-to-value ratio of up to 97% and a tiered yield of up to 40%. Analysts emphasize that the platform's institutional partnerships and the token utility achieved through governance and fee sharing are key differentiators for its long-term sustainability. The current presale price of the platform is $0.015.

[Coin World] Market data shows that XPL briefly touched 0.949 USDT, currently reported at 0.9 USDT.

A certain trading platform expressed dissatisfaction with the violation determination and penalties imposed by Canada's FINTRAC, believing the penalties to be excessive, and has appealed to the federal court. The platform emphasized that it will continue to comply with regulatory requirements.

[Block Rhythm] On September 25, according to data from the data platform, today's Crypto Assets Fear and Greed Index is 44, and market sentiment is in a "fear" state.
Note: The panic index threshold is 0-100, including indicators: Volatility (25%) + Market Trading Volume (25%) + Social Media Heat (15%) + Market Surveys (15%) + Bitcoin's Proportion in the Overall Market (10%) + Google Trends Analysis (10%).