2月25日消息，Cardano（ADA）在经历长达数月的下行后仍处于弱势区间震荡，当前价格约为0.275美元，24小时小幅回落约2.7%，徘徊在周线区间0.2581美元至0.3004美元的中部。尽管近一周出现约6.5%的反弹，但过去30天下跌25%、六个月累计跌幅高达71%，显示中长期趋势仍受压制。
链上数据平台Santiment披露，持有10万至1亿枚ADA的巨鲸与大户地址在过去六个月累计增持约8.194亿枚ADA，按现价估算价值约2.13亿美元。值得注意的是，这一增持行为与ADA从0.90美元跌至0.26美元的区间同步发生，反映出资金实力较强的参与者正在低位持续吸筹，而非恐慌性撤离市场。
衍生品数据亦显示市场情绪趋于冷静。数据显示，24小时交易量降至约3.39亿美元，未平仓合约同步小幅下降，这类量能收缩通常意味着投机杠杆降温，更接近盘整阶段而非加速下跌阶段。价格在0.25美元至0.26美元区域多次获得支撑，表明该区间存在明显需求承接。
生态层面也在释放长期信号。隐私侧链Midnight主网推进、机构配置兴趣提升，以及资产抵押与金融产品准入渠道扩大，均有助于增强ADA在去中心化金融与隐私应用领域的实际使用场景，从而改善中长期流动性基础。
技术结构上，ADA仍运行在20日与50日均线下方，0.27至0.28美元构成动态阻力区。布林带持续收窄，暗示波动率压缩接近临界点；RSI自超卖区回升至30-40区间，显示抛压有所缓解但动能尚未转强。若后续放量突破0.30美元阻力带，短期走势有望上探0.32美元；反之，一旦0.25美元支撑失守，价格可能进一步测试0.20美元心理关口，市场将重新评估Cardano价格反转时机。
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