BlockBeats 消息,2 月 21 日,加密分析师 Michaël van de Poppe 发文表示,「比特币最近回调导致当前已实现亏损大幅飙升,创下历史最高水平。这是比特币历史上规模最大的已实现亏损事件之一,堪比 2018 年熊市崩盘、2020 年 3 月新冠疫情暴跌,以及 2022 年 Luna/FTX 崩溃期间的亏损峰值。
大量持有者正在投降式抛售,要么割肉卖出,要么在亏损状态下转移其 BTC。这种极端的亏损兑现通常意味着市场恐慌性抛售和被动强平。从历史来看,类似的大规模已实现亏损激增,往往出现在阶段性底部或接近底部的位置,因为这代表「弱手」和高杠杆仓位被彻底出清。
值得注意的是,Sharpe Ratio 已降至上一轮底部以来的最低水平;市场正在经历一次大规模投降事件,已实现亏损规模极高;市场情绪几乎降至冰点。唯一的不同在于本轮比特币较历史高点仅下跌约 50%,而非 80%。底部已近。」
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