MICA Daily|BTC 長期持有者不斷出貨,導致拋售壓力日益增加

BTC-0,78%

根據 CryptoQuant 數據顯示,BTC 價格局勢持續惡化,目前的交易價格仍比先前創下的歷史高點 12.6 萬低了超過 45%,這段漫長的修正期正對廣大投資者施加壓力,甚至連長期持有者(LTH)也開始感受到這種不利市場動態的影響。

用於衡量 UTXO 支出時所實現利潤與虧損的「長期持有者支出利潤率」(LTH SOPR)指標,近期已跌入負值區間,儘管年度平均 LTH SOPR 仍維持在 1.87 的高位,但該指標已跌破 1 的關鍵門檻,降至 0.88,這是自 2023 年熊市結束以來未曾見過的現象。 平均而言,這意味著長期持有者目前的賣出行為是以虧損出場,反映出這群歷來韌性極強的投資者群體中,財務壓力正逐漸累積。與此同時,儘管實現虧損的比例不斷增加,長期持有者在最近幾週向幣安的入金量卻有所增加。 圖表顯示,每日入金量達到年度平均水準約兩倍的時期,標誌著異常高的流動量以及行為上的明顯轉變。這些活動激增表明,一部分長期持有者正積極調整倉位,以應對當前的市場狀況。 這種模式自上一個歷史高點以來便已顯現,並在最近幾週有所加速。連續數日記錄到遠高於正常水平的入金量,顯示該平台上長期持有者活動的持續增長。鑑於這類投資者有能力轉移大量的比特幣,他們通常青睞幣安較佳的市場深度和流動性,這並不令人意外。

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