美CPI数据公布前,比特币短期承压逼近70,000美元

BTC-1,57%

3月11日消息,随着投资者在今日晚些时候美国CPI数据公布前保持观望,比特币(BTC)价格下跌超过2%。据crypto.news数据显示,比特币从周二盘中高点71,612美元下跌至周三收盘的69,936美元,短期承压明显。

经济学家预计,美国劳工统计局将公布的2月份CPI环比上涨0.3%,高于1月份的0.2%,同比涨幅预计维持在2.4%。核心CPI环比预计上涨0.2%,同比涨幅为2.5%。尽管通胀数据对美联储货币政策决策至关重要,但由于2月份数据未反映原油价格飙升的影响,比特币在数据公布后的初期反应可能仍偏平稳。

近期中东局势对市场情绪造成冲击,伊朗对途经霍尔木兹海峡的商船发动袭击,使全球能源供应受到威胁,原油价格突破每桶100美元大关。分析人士指出,这一事件可能在短期内对比特币产生一定避险需求,但整体走势仍以横盘整理为主。

从技术面来看,比特币当前面临71,000至72,000美元的关键阻力位,多头短期难以突破;若跌破66,000至67,000美元支撑区域,则可能引发更大幅度回调。CME FedWatch工具显示,市场几乎认为3月份降息可能性为零,4月份降息预期也仅为25个基点。通常,美联储降息预期上升时,加密资产价格可能走强;预期下降则可能导致比特币承压。

综合分析,投资者在今日CPI数据公布前应保持谨慎,关注比特币价格对通胀数据及地缘政治风险的短期反应,同时留意关键支撑与阻力位变化,以评估潜在回调和反弹机会。

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