上周加密市场剧烈震荡，比特币在短时间内从约7万美元急挫至6万美元，触发了历史上规模最大的“实际损失”事件。链上分析平台Glassnode显示，实体调整后的实际损失高达32亿美元，刷新比特币网络有史以来的最高纪录。该指标统计的是以低于成本价出售的比特币美元价值，并剔除了同一实体内部转账的影响，因此更能反映真实抛售压力。
这一数字甚至超过了2022年LUNA崩盘期间约27亿美元的损失，意味着本轮下跌的情绪冲击已超过此前最黑暗阶段。数据平台Checkonchain指出，此次行情具备典型“投降式抛售”的特征：下跌速度快、成交规模大，主要由信念最薄弱的持有者被迫出清所致。
从单日表现看，当天的净实际损失超过15亿美元，创下比特币网络历史上的单日美元损失新高。此类极端事件往往出现在市场周期的尾声阶段，意味着抛压集中释放，供给逐步回到长期持有者手中。
截至发稿时，比特币价格已回升至约67,600美元附近。尽管短期波动仍存，但链上指标显示，恐慌性卖盘正在降温，市场结构开始修复。多项数据暗示，当前阶段可能正接近周期底部区域。
对关注比特币价格走势、链上数据分析与加密市场周期的投资者而言，这次史诗级实际损失事件或许标志着风险集中出清后的新起点。（CoinDesk）
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