分析：机构对加密行情有些过于乐观，历史预示底部尚未到来

GateNews

2026-02-10 00:50:59

BTC7,13%

PANews 2月10日消息，Greeks.live宏观研究员Adam在X平台发文表示，加密行情平稳了一些，主要期限IV出现了明显的下降，但是近一周的实际波动RV仍然较高，造成目前一周级别的VRP出现了创纪录的平均下降45%的记录。具体数据上看，从上周+20%的水平，下跌到目前-25%的水平，这种现象比较少见。这意味着市场正在快速降低对波动的预期，进度有些过快了，毕竟比特币的波动具有很强的聚集性。机构对行情有些过于乐观，这种不谨慎如果面对第二轮下跌，会被非常被动。期权市场的不理性程度明显上升了，机构也被最近的行情打懵了。历史上出现此类的情况，往往代表着底部尚未到来。

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Articoli correlati

Bitcoin ETFs See Record Drawdown as $8.9B Exits During BTC Correction

bitcoin news Price Volatility Capital Flow Global Markets

_Record $8.9B outflows hit Bitcoin ETFs during price correction, but $1.5B in fresh inflows suggest demand is returning._ Bitcoin spot ETFs have recorded their largest capital drawdown since launching in January 2024. Roughly $8.9 billion exited the funds during the selloff, leaving many

LiveBTCNews10m fa

Bitcoin Shows Bullish Divergence Vs. Gold: Is a Fresh Breakout Brewing?

bitcoin news Market Analysis Price Prediction

Michaël van de Poppe, a familiar voice in crypto-charting circles, has flagged what he calls a “bullish divergence” between Bitcoin and gold, a signal he believes could herald a sustained Bitcoin breakout as gold consolidates. “The bullish divergence on BTC vs. Gold is coming into play. Therefore, a

BlockChainReporter36m fa

Ray Dalio Warns Bitcoin Unlikely to Be Long-Term Store of Value

bitcoin news Market Analysis

_Billionaire Ray Dalio says Bitcoin is not a reliable long-term store of value, citing privacy, quantum, and central bank risks._ Billionaire investor Ray Dalio said Bitcoin is unlikely to serve as a long-term store of value or safe-haven asset. He contested that cryptocurrency is not

LiveBTCNews1h fa

Eric Trump高調慶祝：家族礦企American Bitcoin持倉衝破6500枚比特幣！躍居全球第17持幣公司

bitcoin news Capital Flow Project Progress

川普次子艾瑞克·川普宣布其家族的比特幣礦企American Bitcoin持倉量突破6,500枚，成為全球第17大公開比特幣公司。過去21天內，該公司增加超過500枚比特幣，顯示川普家族在加密貨幣領域的擴張決心。公司計劃購入新型礦機以提升挖礦能力。

動區BlockTempo1h fa

Next Crypto to Explode: Pepeto Surges Past $7.4M As Standard Chartered Cuts Bitcoin to $50K While...

When Standard Chartered slashes its Bitcoin forecast to $50,000, you know the market has entered the kind of fear where real opportunities stop hiding and start screaming at anyone willing to listen. But while analysts debate whether Bitcoin holds $71,800, Pepeto is building the exchange

BlockChainReporter1h fa

Lombard and Blockworks to Host Dedicated Bitcoin Track At Digital Asset Summit NYC

Lombard has been declared the Official Bitcoin Partner of the Digital Asset Summit 2026, which will be taking place in New York City later this month. The collaboration is a major milestone for the Bitcoin ecosystem and the institutional digital asset industry as a whole, as the summit keeps

BlockChainReporter1h fa

Commento

0/400

Nessun commento