比特币ETF单周流出近3亿美元!避险情绪升温压制加密市场

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Gate News 消息,受地缘冲突升级与宏观不确定性叠加影响,美国现货比特币ETF上周出现大规模资金撤离,累计净流出约2.96亿美元,市场风险偏好明显下降。

数据显示,3月24日至27日期间,多只主流基金遭遇赎回,其中IBIT成为资金流出最集中的产品。周五单日净流出高达2.255亿美元,成为本轮波动的关键节点。此前周初一度录得1.67亿美元资金流入,但随着市场情绪转弱,资金迅速转向防御。

分析师Josh Gilbert指出,比特币回落至阶段低位,同时美股持续走弱,标普500指数录得五周连跌,创近年最长下行周期。能源价格飙升至三位数水平,进一步强化通胀预期,使美联储降息路径被迫延后,对风险资产形成压制。

地缘因素同样加剧波动。美国总统特朗普近期关于中东局势的表态提升了市场不确定性,叠加停火谈判迟迟未见进展,资金更倾向于规避风险资产。Peter Chung与Pratik Kala均认为,本轮资金流出主要由避险需求与季度末再平衡驱动,规模仍处于历史常态区间。

尽管短期承压,比特币相较其他资产仍展现出一定韧性。当前价格回升至约67,500美元附近,但市场预期仍偏谨慎。预测数据显示,投资者认为比特币跌至55,000美元的概率高于上涨至84,000美元。

在宏观与地缘变量尚未缓解的背景下,比特币走势仍将受到情绪主导,ETF资金流向与美联储政策信号将成为后续关键观察指标。

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