2月10日消息,加密货币市场再度承压,总市值单日下滑约2%,主要原因来自投资者对美国政府可能停摆的担忧情绪升温。市场避险氛围加重,资金加速流出风险资产板块。
作为风向标的比特币当日下跌约2.4%,在68,400美元至71,000美元区间内震荡,当前稳定在69,400美元附近。以太坊跌幅接近3%,价格勉强守住2,000美元关口,近一周累计跌幅已扩大至12%。XRP、BNB、Solana 与 Dogecoin 同样走弱,带动加密资产整体市值回落至约2.44万亿美元。
价格回调迅速引发杠杆清算。CoinGlass 数据显示,过去24小时内市场清算金额接近3亿美元,多数来自多头仓位,进一步放大了短期抛压。
此次波动的核心诱因在于美国联邦预算谈判僵局。若国会未能在2月13日前达成一致,政府可能进入部分停摆状态。预测市场 Polymarket 显示,停摆概率一度升至76%,目前仍维持在高位。这一不确定性不仅可能影响宏观经济预期,还可能拖慢加密货币相关立法进程,其中《清晰法案》的审议已被推迟,进一步加剧监管层面的不确定感。
同时,市场对新提名的 Kevin Warsh 持偏鹰派立场的看法也加重了紧张情绪。美股近期走弱,而黄金、白银及美国国债等避险资产走强,显示资金正从高风险资产转向防御领域。历史经验表明,加密货币往往在这种环境下率先承压。
机构动向同样偏谨慎。SoSoValue 数据显示,美国现货比特币ETF当日仅录得1.45亿美元资金流入,较前一交易日明显回落。本月整体仍呈净流出状态,反映大型资金对短期市场前景的观望态度。多重因素叠加,使加密市场情绪维持在偏空区间。
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