Odaily星球日报讯 Bitwise 首席投资官 Matt Hougan 在 X 平台发文表示,加密货币由叙事驱动,目前有九大主要叙事有望引领下一轮周期。
第一,营收型产品。区块链年收入目前约为 70 亿至 80 亿美元,随着主流化进场加快,行业收入规模化至数千亿美元,产生收入的项目将获得奖励。
第二,AiFi。AI 代理将使用加密货币、稳定币和 DeFi 而非银行账户,其规模难以估量。
第三,法币退潮。随着法币贬值,全球将转向包括 BTC 在内的硬通货。
第四,机构采用。加密货币的机构采用是为期十年的大趋势,规模将以万亿单位衡量。
第五,监管进展。积极监管的红利尚未体现,Genius Act 将于 2027 年 1 月生效,监管明确后投资与主流采用将呈曲棍球棒式增长。
第六,稳定币超级周期。稳定币管理资产规模虽暂时停滞在 3000 亿美元,但未来将增长至数万亿,成为 21 世纪全球支付轨道的支柱。
第七,代币化。目前仅有 200 亿美元资产完成代币化,而全球股票、债券和房地产市场总额达数百万亿,市场渗透率不足 0.1%。
第八,DeFi 复兴。随着 RWA 资产代币化及监管明确后协议代币经济学的改进,DeFi 规模将扩大 100 倍。
第九,以太坊迎来“乔布斯回归时刻”。Vitalik Buterin 回归以太坊生态,类比 1996 年乔布斯回归苹果公司,以太坊发展将迎来爆发期。
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