SerumSquirrel

I noticed an interesting trend on Bitcoin charts — it has been declining for five consecutive months. This reminds me of 2018, when the crypto experienced one of its worst series of losses. Market pessimism is clearly growing, judging by price behavior and trading volumes.
If this trend continues, we could see even more significant downward movements. Many traders are currently in a wait-and-see mode, afraid to open positions. Investor pessimism is reaching levels we haven't seen in several years.
Should this be seen as a buy signal or just a warning? The market has not yet shown signs of a re

I noticed an interesting story that shows how wild the situation on prediction markets can be. On Polymarket, six accounts literally made over $74.12k by predicting a U.S. strike on Iran on February 28. And it’s not just a coincidence — blockchain analysts from Bubblemaps analyzed everything in detail.
The most amusing part is in the details. Most of these wallets received funding within 24 hours before the attack itself, then quickly bought "Yes" on the market about the strike on Iran, and within a few hours, they already knew about the explosions in Tehran. One account, for example, bought o

Tuesday was wild for Bitcoin — first it dropped to a 14-month low, then sharply reversed upward. Such monthly fluctuations are not often seen. The movement was so abrupt that there were mass liquidations of positions totaling about $740 million.
This is a classic scenario for a volatile market — when everyone thinks the bottom is found, then suddenly boom, and everything shoots up. Traders who were in short positions took significant losses. Days like these remind us why caution is needed with leverage in crypto.

Noticed that Bitcoin's rebound after dropping to $60K last week is already hitting a ceiling. Yesterday, it seemed to approach $74K, but the momentum is fading. Traders are discussing this as a classic bearish pattern — when the price bounces back, attracting new buyers, and then faces a wave of sell-offs from those wanting to exit at a better price.
The problem is that market liquidity has decreased by about 30% since the end of last year. Spot trading volumes on major exchanges have fallen from approximately $1 trillion to around $700 billion. This creates a vicious cycle: when selling pres

Here's a twist — Polymarket has decided to close markets related to nuclear explosions. Apparently, public outrage and criticism have done their job. Honestly, it's interesting to see how platforms are starting to think about the ethics of prediction markets. On one hand, it's a market — people bet on everything imaginable. On the other hand, there are boundaries that are better not to cross. The question is, where should that boundary really be? What do you think — is this the right decision or a restriction on freedom?

An interesting situation is unfolding with the cryptocurrency market structure bill. Jefferies has just released analysis, and it contains very intriguing conclusions about where regulation is headed.
The essence is that CLARITY is the most detailed development plan for the digital asset market structure proposed to date. Senate committees are already working on it: a version from the Senate Banking Committee appeared in January, building on what the House of Representatives approved last summer. But here’s the problem – the Senate Agriculture Committee also needs to approve its version, and t

Here's a twist — Bitcoin couldn't hold the rebound. Stocks in the U.S. are falling, gold is rising, macroeconomic risks are accumulating as the clock on the chain counts the days of uncertainty. It seems investors are massively shifting to safer assets.
I note that such dynamics against the backdrop of overall economic tension are not just a correction. It’s a signal that the risk-off scenario is gaining strength. When stocks fall and gold rises, crypto usually follows stocks.
It’s interesting how long this will last. Time will tell whether the bulls can regain control or if macroeconomics wil

I noticed an interesting development on the regulatory front. The US is beginning to reconsider the rules for prediction markets, and it seems to be a serious shift in approach.
The point is that the previous administrative course essentially froze innovation in this segment. Now a new wave of regulators has decided to reevaluate their approach — Bill 5488 is becoming a key tool in this review. This is not just a bureaucratic move but an attempt to reboot the entire market segment.
What’s particularly interesting: Bill 5488 proposes a more flexible regulatory framework instead of strict restri

Yesterday, a major hack occurred on Resolv's stablecoin USR, and the price dropped by 70% because someone withdrew approximately $25 million. The token, which should be worth $1, fell to $0.27 and has not recovered.
The core issue was that the smart contract was full of vulnerabilities. The privileged account was controlled by a single key without multi-signature, there were no oracle checks, and no limits on token issuance. The attacker deposited 100k USDC and received 50 million USR in exchange — 500 times more than it should have been. After creating 80 million counterfeit tokens, the hacke

Apparently, the crypto market is starting to get used to political noise. Trump announced a jump in global tariffs from 10% to 15%, and although such news usually causes panic in cryptocurrencies, this time Bitcoin and Ether hardly moved. An interesting observation — prices are holding around $70,000 for BTC and approximately $2,200 for ETH, even though economic uncertainty is clearly increasing.
The president even posted on Truth Social, explaining that his move was necessary to protect American industry from trade imbalances. British businessmen, of course, were alarmed — the head of the UK

I noticed that many beginners in technical analysis overlook a very useful pattern that helps catch reversals in upward trends. It's about the Shooting Star — that very falling star that often predicts a change in the price direction.
Here's why this pattern works. When the price is rising and suddenly a candle forms with a small body at the bottom and a huge upper shadow — this is a clear signal of a struggle between bulls and bears. First, buyers push the price up, but then sellers break them down and close the candle almost at the open. This is the shooting star pattern in action.
The chara

I've noticed that lately more and more traders are returning to classic analysis methods. And here’s an interesting thing – a method developed back in the early 20th century that still works perfectly on cryptocurrencies.
Richard Wyckoff was not just a successful trader of his time. He understood how big players operate and created a system that allows tracking their movements. The main idea is simple: large capital manipulates the market in its favor, and if you see the patterns of this manipulation, you can profit from them.
Wyckoff identified five main phases of any market. First comes accu

Guys, I just rewatched the historical price dynamics of Bitcoin and realized how wild this journey has been. The Bitcoin price in 2010 was only 28 cents — can you imagine? Over fourteen years, the coin has gone from a penny to six-figure amounts.
Looking at this trajectory, I see several key moments. In 2013, there was the first serious bull run up to $813, then a pullback in 2014-2015. But the most interesting part started in 2016 — since then, each cycle has set new highs. 2017 gave us $8,771, 2021 broke $58,927, and in 2024, we already saw $95,531.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $70,8

Here's what concerns me right now: how vulnerable is user data on crypto platforms? ZachXBT just published an investigation showing that the risks are much more serious than we thought.
It turns out that Axiom Exchange employee — Brooks Bower, a business development specialist — used internal dashboards to access confidential user information. This isn’t just about viewing data, but about an entire scheme of tracking private wallets through address indexing and sharing this information with a select group of people.
How did it work? Bower tracked wallets of well-known crypto influencers and tr

I noticed an interesting point in the market — it seems that major players are once again starting to buy Bitcoin more actively. Last week, one of the leading digital asset companies added nearly $76.6 million worth of BTC to their portfolio. This looks like a return to a more aggressive strategy after a period of calm.
It's interesting that such a strategy demonstrates institutional investors' confidence in Bitcoin's potential. The size of the purchase isn't huge by the standards of large funds, but the very fact of resuming regular inflows indicates that they see value at current levels. It

I noticed an interesting trend: governments are starting to accumulate Bitcoin in a completely different way than before.
While Western governments usually acquire crypto through confiscation, the UAE chose a different path — they develop their own mining operations and simply hold the mined coins.
As of today, they have about 6,800 bitcoins in their wallets worth around $450 million.
Unrealized gains have already reached $344 million — and this is despite mining for years when prices were lower.
Interestingly, their mining infrastructure remains active — producing about 4.2 BTC per da

An interesting forecast from Citizens Bank: prediction markets could reach a run rate of $10 billion annually by 2030. It sounds ambitious, but when you look at the current growth rates of this segment, the figure doesn't seem entirely fantastical.
Forecast markets as an instrument are experiencing a second renaissance. They are no longer just a niche exotic for thrill-seekers but potentially a serious asset class. People want to bet on events, politics, sports, crypto — everything under the sun. And every time a new instrument for this appears, it finds its audience.
If the run rate truly rea

I noticed that the XVS token on the Venus platform has recently dropped about 9%. It turns out the protocol encountered a serious issue — someone found a vulnerability and was able to exploit it. As a result, the system was left with uncovered losses.
Venus is a DeFi lending protocol, and when such things happen, the market reacts quickly. Investors start to panic, and the token price drops. Although it's fair to say that over the last day, the decline was only about 0.58%, but the overall trend was negative following the news of the exploit.
This reminds us why security in crypto is so critic

An interesting position from Mike Novogratz of Galaxy Digital. The company's CEO does not see quantum technologies as a real threat to Bitcoin in the near future.
This is a rather optimistic outlook. Many in the crypto community are concerned about how quantum computers could impact cryptography and blockchain security, but Novogratz seems to be less alarmist about it.
Mike Novogratz has always been known for his pragmatic approach to risks in crypto. Under his leadership, Galaxy Digital invests in various areas of industry development, and apparently, quantum challenges are not on the list of