LiquidityWitch
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Warning: The golden ratio inflection point is approaching; stock investors need to reassess risks
【BitPush】Senior analyst Christopher Aaron recently highlighted a noteworthy signal: the ratio of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to gold has reached its fourth major turning point.
What does this mean? Put simply—gold may experience several years of sustained strength, and investors who cling to traditional industrial stocks like the Dow or S&P 500 might need to prepare for long-term losses.
Data supports this assessment: the DJIA-to-gold ratio measures how many ounces of gold are needed to buy one share of each of the 30 components of the Dow. Historically, there have been three critical inflection points—1930-1933, 1968-1980, 2002-2011. Based on the average cycle pattern, during this cycle, the Dow relative to gold could decline for 9.3 years, with a drop of up to 90.5%.
What’s even more alarming is that Aaron believes this could be the most severe one in history.
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Layer2Arbitrageurvip:
yo so aaron's basically saying traditional equity holders are about to get rekt for 9+ years? the math checks out on paper but nobody ever talks about the gas fees of rotating out of 500 positions lmao. 90.5% drawdown sounds juicy for basis point hunters tho ngl
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Consumer confidence plunges: Spending shrinks by one billion, how will cost pressures reshape market expectations
【CryptoWorld】The holiday shopping season has become a test of consumers' wallets. UK consumers are expected to spend as little as £3.6 billion on Boxing Day this year, a £1 billion decrease compared to last year. Even more disheartening is the participation rate—only 26% of people plan to continue shopping, down from 28% last year. Although the difference seems small, it reflects a significant decline in consumer willingness.
Interestingly, despite fewer participants, the average spending per consumer who continues to shop has increased to £253. What does this indicate? It's not a matter of purchasing power, but selective consumption.
The root cause is straightforward: nearly 70% of consumers cite tight budgets. Banking institutions point out that these cost pressures mainly stem from rising living expenses. To make matters worse, recent tax policy adjustments—freezing the income tax threshold and increasing tax rates—further squeezed consumers' disposable income. As a result, consumer confidence index in the budget plan
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SilentObservervip:
Less people, yet the average expenditure increases? Isn't this just the wealthy continuing to indulge while the poor have already given up?

This round of tax policies in the UK are really harsh, no wonder everyone is shouting bankruptcy.

26% participation rate, how long will it take to shrink to that level?

One billion, just gone like that, consumer confidence has indeed collapsed.

Selective spending sounds nice, but in reality, it's just being forced to be rational due to lack of money.

The group with an average of 253 pounds probably didn't even take this reduction seriously.

Every time I see this kind of data, I feel it’s becoming increasingly difficult for ordinary people.

Once the budget is announced, disposable income directly evaporates. How is this even possible?

I just want to ask, when will we see a consumption rebound? Or do we have to wait for policy easing?
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A major mainstream DEX initiates a governance overhaul: burning 100 million tokens and reshaping the fee distribution mechanism
A leading DEX recently approved a proposal to burn 100 million tokens and introduce a protocol-level fee switch mechanism. This change could impact liquidity providers' earnings and raise concerns about liquidity migration. The market is focused on whether liquidity will flow out and the implementation of fees to assess the effectiveness of the reform.
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BearMarketSurvivorvip:
Burn 100 million tokens? This is obviously cutting the leeks of LP holders. Changing the fee distribution will inevitably lead to liquidity outflow.
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Infinex Founder Explains INX Token Sale Adjustment: From $300 Million FDV Down to $99.99 Million, What Is the Logic Behind It?
Infinex founder Kain Warwick explained the reasons for lowering the valuation of the INX token and the fundraising target, mainly to respond to negative market sentiment and community feedback. In the new market environment, the FDV was cut from $300 million to $99.99 million, and the fundraising goal was adjusted to $5 million, reflecting the project's emphasis on market sentiment and listening to community opinions.
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UNI1.84%
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LiquidationSurvivorvip:
I think Kain's recent actions show some sincerity, cutting from 300 million to 99.99 million, finally listening to the community's feedback.

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A valuation of 300 million dollars, no wonder there's criticism. It's obviously trying to scalp some profits.

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Basically, the pricing was too outrageous. Admitting it now is quite honest, but why didn't they think this way earlier?

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Locking in for a year at this kind of price is really impressive. The current adjustment isn't enough; we need to see how they handle things afterward.

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Listening to the community's voice is a good point. It's definitely better than those projects that just hype themselves up.

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Cutting from 300 million to 99.99 million, that "99.99 million" figure is interesting. Do they just not want to break a billion? Haha.

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Wow, if it weren't for the community collectively complaining, they might have continued to cut.

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Kain has shown a decent attitude in admitting mistakes, but is this price really reasonable? We still need to see the market response.

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Saying the market is overwhelmed by negative sentiment is just an excuse for the project team being greedy.

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At least they're willing to make changes, which is better than stubbornly resisting. However, this wave has still caused a significant drop in trust.
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Fintech Company Listing on HKEX Imminent: Blockchain and AI Drive Digital Financial Innovation
A fintech company has applied for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Its business covers software development, consulting, and system integration, with a focus on payment systems, blockchain, and AI technology applications, demonstrating that traditional finance is gradually integrating into Web3 and AI, driving innovation in financial services.
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DaoTherapyvip:
The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is about to welcome new players; the combination of blockchain + AI is becoming increasingly attractive.

Traditional finance has finally realized that without embracing new technologies, it can only be eliminated.

The payment and settlement sector has long needed an upgrade; the efficiency is too low.

The implementation of blockchain is finally more than just a slogan—it's a tangible application scenario.

The listing of such companies can basically indicate the industry trend; optimistic about it.

Who still dares to say that Web3 has no prospects? Everyone is starting to integrate it into core business.

The technical difficulty of underlying financial infrastructure is not small; there's potential to watch.

The endorsement of investment banks for Hong Kong Stock Exchange listings indicates that the financing environment is indeed warming up.

The combination of AI + blockchain has considerable imaginative space in the financial field.

Real transformation is coming, not just hype.
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Marshall Islands issues Universal Basic Income using Stellar and also launches sovereign stablecoin USDM1
The Marshall Islands will launch a Universal Basic Income (UBI) program in 2025, distributing basic income through the Stellar blockchain, funded by the Compact Trust Fund. This program is open to all citizens, with no income restrictions and flexible disbursement. At the same time, a digital sovereign bond USDM1, anchored to short-term U.S. Treasury bonds, has been introduced, combining traditional finance with blockchain technology to explore on-chain stablecoin applications.
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XLM1.26%
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AirdropHarvestervip:
Marshall's move this time is really brilliant, directly using Stellar to issue UBI. This approach is quite bold...
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Who will be the winner in the 2025 crypto market? Top venture capitalists provide the answer
The winners in the 2025 crypto market include stablecoins, prediction markets, and traditional financial institutions. Stablecoins perform outstandingly, meeting users' financial needs; prediction markets develop rapidly and attract large investments; established companies like Robinhood are accelerating their deployment. However, the industry also experiences failures, such as the Terra collapse, while the regulatory attitude in the US is expected to improve.
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LUNA-1.17%
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GasFeeCriervip:
Predicting who will win or lose again. To be honest, just listening to these VC talks is enough.
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The $23.6 billion options test is approaching. Can BTC break through $96,000?
【币界】又到了考验时刻。12月26日,超236亿美元的比特币期权即将到期,而这轮期权的"最大痛点"正好卡在96,000美元附近——这个价位对多空双方都是关键。
眼下的情况有点微妙。美国现货比特币ETF的资金外流已经缩到年内低位,这多少反映了机构入场的热度在降温。价格这边呢,比特币在87,106美元上下震荡盘整,上方压力在90,647美元,下方支撑守在83,986美元。
说实话,这个区间有点考验人的耐心。期权到期前的波动往往不小,得看机构怎么操作,期现货之间的博弈也在暗处较劲。多空双方都在这个96,000美元的关键点上眼红,谁能拿下这里,后续的走向可能就有戏了。
BTC1.44%
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retroactive_airdropvip:
This level at 96k, feels like the institutions are about to play a round again.
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DOGE 4-hour K-line analysis: Bullish rebound signals emerging, trading opportunities in oversold areas
【CryptoWorld】DOGE's recent 4-hour candlestick trend is worth noting. The price has risen compared to 04:00 on December 24 but has slightly pulled back from 00:00, showing an overall pattern of rising and then retreating. It has rebounded compared to 12:00 on December 23 but remains in a downtrend from 00:00 to now, with a clear large bearish candlestick. The last candlestick turned into a bullish one, closing above the opening price, indicating a rebound by the bulls.
Market volume performance is not optimistic—trading volume has been continuously shrinking in recent hours, and market enthusiasm has significantly declined, with trading activity remaining low. This creates a divergence between price and volume, making the market appear somewhat dull.
From a technical indicator perspective, the MACD signal shows positive changes. Although the histogram is still negative, it is gradually shortening, indicating that the bearish momentum is weakening and the bullish forces are strengthening. Regarding the KDJ indicator, no obvious golden or death cross signals have appeared; the current KDJ value is about 14, in the oversold zone.
DOGE-1.14%
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GasWaster69vip:
The divergence between price and volume—how many times have we fallen for this trick before? Wake up, everyone.
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Ethereum ICO wallet that was dormant for 10 years awakens: $620 turns into $5.85 million, a 9,435-fold wealth creation story
【币界】链上监测数据显示,一个以太坊早期ICO钱包在沉寂了超过十年后,最近有了大动作。这个钱包地址(0x3495)刚刚把所有2000枚ETH一股脑儿转到了新地址,总价值约585万美元。
看这账本就知道,这位早期参与者当年在ICO时只砸进去了620美元。那时候以太坊刚问世,很多人都没把它当回事。但这次转账告诉我们——这笔投资回报达到了惊人的9435倍。从数百美元到数百万美元,十多年的耐心换来了这样的结果。
这样的故事在加密市场里总是引人深思。早期的赌注有多大的收益潜力,同时也考验着持有者的心态。这笔资产的转移,可能预示着这位长期持有者的下一步行动。
ETH1.53%
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GovernancePretendervip:
Wow, is this real? 620 yuan turning into 5.85 million in ten years. Is this a dream? I wish I could travel back in time too.
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Is capital the true driving force? The death spiral of ETH price and liquidity
Institutional analysis suggests that the price trend of the crypto market is mainly influenced by capital inflows and outflows, rather than use cases or adoption rates. For example, the Ethereum ETF market indicates that capital flow is highly sensitive to price fluctuations, and understanding the patterns of capital movement is essential to predicting future market trends.
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ETH1.53%
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InfraVibesvip:
Basically, it's a game of hot potato; whoever doesn't hold the flower is doomed.

It's just a capital game; supporting the price with cases has long been outdated.

Invested 10 billion to push the price to 4500, then cut loose and halved... This is the current situation.

No one believes the story anymore; now it's all about where the money flows.

It's always like this—hot money flows in and out, and retail investors get washed out.

Without real demand to support the bottom, the price becomes especially fragile.

Rather than guessing the bottom, it's better to watch the whale wallets.

The biggest difference between this round and the last is that there's no longer coverage from adoption rate growth.

Pure liquidity gambling—it's so real, it hurts a little.
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India cracks down on crypto scam networks, 21 locations raided, investors need to beware of these fake platforms
Indian law enforcement agencies have recently launched a large-scale crackdown on money laundering cases, raiding multiple locations and dismantling networks of fake cryptocurrency investment platforms. These platforms use celebrity images and fake websites to attract investors with promises of high returns, then launder money through complex methods. Authorities have issued investment risk warnings against some of the involved websites, alerting investors to beware of scams.
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SmartContractPlumbervip:
Investigated thoroughly, well-regulated.
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Bitcoin fell below 87000 dollars, with an intra-day decline widening.
[Coin World] Bitcoin short-term has once again staged a pullback. Just now BTC fell below the $87,000 mark, currently hovering at $86,991.60, with a decline of 0.52% since today.
BTC1.44%
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SoliditySlayervip:
It fell again, when will it bottom out?
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Trump Media transferred 2,000 Bitcoins worth $175 million within eight hours.
[Coin World] According to the latest monitoring from the on-chain data tracking platform, a large-scale Bitcoin transfer has just come to light. Trump Media Group transferred 2000 BTC from its wallet address less than eight hours ago, with a market capitalization of approximately $175 million. Such large on-chain operations usually attract market attention—after all, these whale-level Bitcoin movements often indicate a change in the holder's intentions. Whether for liquidity allocation or other strategic considerations, this transaction has left a clear footprint on-chain, providing monitoring agencies with another data point worth observing.
BTC1.44%
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DarkPoolWatchervip:
2000 BTC can be transferred just like that, this pace is a bit fast.
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The panic index remains at 24: the crypto market is in extreme panic, and investors are cautiously observing.
[Coin World] The sentiment data on December 24 has refreshed our understanding — the fear and greed index of the crypto market remains at 24, unchanged for two consecutive days. What does this number mean? In simple terms, it indicates that the market is caught in a vortex of extreme fear. The mindset of investors at this moment is understandable — some are cutting losses, others are waiting, and no one dares to act rashly. From on-chain data to market sentiment, everything seems to explain the depth of this adjustment.
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SignatureDeniedvip:
The number 24 is just stuck there, and the entire market feels frozen, it's a bit desperate.
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