Cheatsheet to tell why Candle 3 will Fail ahead of time:
If there's No Key Level, there's No Setup.

How to Determine Whether the Next Candle Will Expand or Consolidate
Predicting Directional Candles
→ Formation I: Reversal Candle
→ Formation II: Immediate Rejection Candle
→ Formation III: Engulfing Candle
After any of these three formations appear, the following candles have a high probability of becoming directional candles rather than consolidating.
These formation candles act as your Anchor Candles for defining the Wick Formation Area.

ICT Finally Released his own Personal Trading Model:

Time/Price are Fractal.
Use IF/THEN Logic to Profile the 4h Chart:

Propulsion Block Cheatsheet:

Breaker Block Cheatsheet:

The Real Trading Enigma:

Top-Down Approach:
This unlocks the Key to the Markets