CryptoPhineas

A recent book I read — "Parallelism and Competition"
This book was published in 2021, when the real estate market had not yet experienced a nationwide collapse. The author mentions in the preface that he believes, with the strong development of China's manufacturing and industrial strength, the overall economic size has reached a stage where it can rival the United States. Additionally, due to the recent decades of manufacturing hollowing out in the US, a mechanism of global parallel confrontation and cooperation has emerged between the two countries and their respective camps, reflecting the

Advice for Ordinary People in the Next Five Years
1: Exercise regularly (preferably focusing on cardiovascular health)
2: Stockpile precious metals and $BTC (if gold is unaffordable, consider silver)
3: Learn English (no need for certification, just ensure conversational ability)
4: Do not buy property
Avoid large-scale consumption in the next three years; save as much money as possible.
It is expected that in three years there may be a brief economic recovery or high welfare (though unsustainable, at least better than now).
Additional suggestions:
1: Learn some basic medical skills to handle

2026 Market Outlook — A Review of Investment Opportunities for Next Year
Let's start with the main points.
The opportunities in China's stock market will be limited next year; the index has already peaked, and only a few sectors may experience a rally. Most other sectors will likely fluctuate at high levels.
The US stock bull market could last until around Q3 next year before reaching a phase top, providing quite a few opportunities.
In commodities, gold could reach a maximum of 4700; other non-ferrous metals are in the process of hitting their peaks and are probably expected to top out in Q1

Precious metals'狂暴 bull market beyond imagination
Gold: Don't speak of a top lightly.
Silver: Gold never admits a top; whoever dares is brave.
Shanghai Copper: Has reached a new high; the sky's the limit.

The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut is completely within expectations.
Summary of Powell’s speech:
1. This round of rate cuts has ended, and there will be a pause afterward, similar to the three rate cuts at the end of 2024.
2. The entire rate-cut cycle has not ended; at least no one is considering a rate hike.
3. Looking at non-farm payrolls, the real data is roughly around -20,000 per month. Due to statistical and modeling reasons, non-farm payrolls do not truly reflect reality.
4. Buying short-term bonds is to ensure sufficient liquidity, thereby maintaining interest rates.
The ab

$ETH When ETH is strong, altcoins are also supposed to be strong according to normal logic. So why do altcoins still look like they are dead?

Revisiting the Bitcoin White Paper
In recent days, I rediscovered a familiar PDF file: the Bitcoin White Paper. Not to speculate on coins, nor to review the market trends, but to once again experience the design journey of this system.
"That author from 16 years ago had a thinking logic far deeper than ours in the 2020s."
As early as 2008, when feature phones still dominated the mobile market and payments relied on U-shields and verification codes, Satoshi Nakamoto wrote a document outlining:
1️⃣ A global payment settlement system that doesn't rely on any central authority;
2️⃣ A trust mechani

When will China’s next upward cycle of national fortune begin? And how long will it last?
This is not fortune-telling, but rather an attempt to find the “potentially historically chosen window” by analyzing historical patterns, structural conditions, and current realities.
My prediction (combining current realities and structural variables) is:
The next upward cycle of China’s national fortune could start as early as 2026-2027,
with the real takeoff occurring between 2028-2030,
and, if all goes well, it could last until around 2040.
Why this prediction? (Core variable analysis)
1. The shift fr

The next innovation boom in the cryptocurrency industry will definitely be in RWA.
The DeFi track in the crypto space has basically reached its peak, having produced phenomenal products like $AAVE , which, as the largest blockchain bank, is now mature.
People have played around in the MEME track only to find that most are scams—when the hype fades, there's nothing left, and only a very few MEME coins manage to survive.
The L2 narrative has been disproved; after Ethereum’s upgrade, there’s really no need for so many L2s. In fact, L2s are just leeching off Ethereum and dragging down $ETH ’s deve

These two doomed projects, $ARB and $OP , probably trapped quite a few people. Looking at the monthly chart, the trend is still downward. From a technical development perspective, isn't L2 just a pseudo-demand? After Ethereum's technical upgrade, there really won't be a need for so many L2s. Friends who are stuck holding these two coins, it's time to wake up and stop fantasizing. However, after a significant drop, there will always be some rebound. If ARB rebounds to around 0.5 and OP rebounds to around 0.7, those are good opportunities to exit—don't get trapped even deeper, or it will be pai

Although silver's all-time high came two months later, the direction was still correct. I only bought a small position in silver for fun, unlike gold where I invested several hundred in funds.
After gold hit a new high, silver once again reached a historic high. After years of stagnation, silver has entered a bull market cycle.
Just as I anticipated and mentioned to everyone in the plaza before, I remain fully bullish on both gold and silver, giving silver the opportunity to reach a new all-time high. Silver has become the most outstanding major asset this year.
Don’t limit your investment vis

Let me briefly share my reference for gold prices. After all, I personally hold a few million in gold positions. My approach is mainly based on my own observation method using star lines—I don’t follow the news; it’s just a rough cycle deduction. Don’t take this as direct trading advice, as I don’t track gold daily for updates.
If we consider the sideways movement of gold in 2020 as an accumulation phase (like pulling a bow), projecting forward, the targets I see for March–April 2024 are around 4370 and 4737. The current price has already reached a relatively high level, and new time pivot poi