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The Bank of Japan's latest rate hike has arrived, but the market isn't as panicked as last time.
Do you remember the last time? As soon as the rate hike news was announced, Bitcoin plummeted from 65,000 to 50,000, and Ethereum dropped below 2000 from 3000. The entire community was screaming. But this time, the script is indeed a bit different, supported by two core reasons.
**First is that the market has been psychologically prepared for this**
The net long positions in the Japanese yen have accumulated quite a bit recently, and there's little room for short-term speculative trading to push it
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#数字资产生态回暖 20,000 bucks Lossed Position Management Breakthrough Method
Why do full-position traders always lose? Three reasons hit hard:
First, mindset crashes directly. Going all-in, your account flows like your blood, unable to tolerate any fluctuations, rationality immediately shuts down.
Second, no backup plan. Without cash reserves, it's like having no spare ammunition on the battlefield; any sudden market move can only be endured hard.
Third, can't afford to lose. No room for error; a single misjudgment means total loss. The market loves to punish those who are certain they're right.
Havi
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PumpDetectorvip:
reading between the lines here... the 3-layer thing sounds solid but let me be real, most people will yolo the whole stack again within weeks lol. been watching this cycle since mt gox, human psychology doesn't change that easy ngl
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#数字资产生态回暖 $BTC $ETH $BNB
BlackRock submits Ethereum spot staking ETF application to the SEC, marking a significant move by a traditional asset management giant to incorporate crypto assets into its strategic portfolio.
One of Wall Street’s largest asset managers actively entering the staking arena reflects institutional investors' recognition of Ethereum’s long-term value. When the scale of funds reaches trillions, the market signals become particularly clear — crypto assets are moving from the fringe to the core of mainstream finance.
The market response has been straightforward. Traders are
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NullWhisperervip:
honestly? technically speaking, the staking narrative's interesting but let's audit this thing first. 70k eth sounds like cope until we actually see the protocol hold up under real pressure. institutional fomo is predictable, but that doesn't make it safe.
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Admittedly, the short-term narrative of Web3 has reached a ceiling.
Looking back at the virtual asset boom from the pandemic to today, what has it actually achieved? Mobile payments have done everything it can do, and all the features expected in in-game purchases are available. Global cross-border transfers are indeed faster and cheaper than traditional central banking systems. It sounds promising, but this level of innovation is nowhere near enough to support the next wave of asset bubbles.
Where is the problem? Currently, AI Agents are too primitive—they are neither convenient nor smart eno
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AirdropHunter007vip:
In simple terms, it's just about hype and getting tired of it; truly usable things are few and far between.
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#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 School textbooks have never taught how to make money, and that's a fact. Interestingly, some of the big V influencers in the crypto world with a net worth of several hundred million are just as confused as ordinary people when it comes to this—suddenly, their kids ask: Dad, how can I make money?😂
Imagine, even the most skilled traders and knowledgeable analysts when faced with their child's question, might stumble for a moment. Because, when it comes to making money, there's really no standard answer that can be found in textbooks.
This makes me think—crypto brothers and siste
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BrokeBeansvip:
Haha, really, I was also stumped by my son and just told him to master math first.
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After messing around in the square for a long time, I finally accumulated 7 U in rebates, but then I turned around and was asked for 10 U. This is completely unacceptable. The small profits I earned from trading with great effort were taken away in an instant, making it feel like I didn't do anything. How can I make up for this price difference?
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Recent policy developments by the Bank of Japan have attracted attention, with market focus on the impact of the US-Japan yield spread on arbitrage trading. Let's take a look at the current situation of the 2-year bonds—Japan's JP02Y at about 1%, US bonds US02Y at around 3.5%, the nominal spread is still quite large.
If the yen interest rate is raised by 25 basis points next Sunday, the Japanese bond yields may rise to around 0.75%, which could theoretically provide some support for 2-year Japanese bonds. But there's a problem: the room for narrowing the US-Japan yield spread isn't actually la
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GasWhisperervip:
bruh the carry trade death spiral keeps everyone distracted while the actual spread compression math doesn't even move the needle... 250bps gap stays 250bps gap, just different vibes now
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BTC plummeted from 94,000 to 89,237 yesterday afternoon, with a maximum daily decline of 4.8% and a 24-hour drop of 2.52%. This morning, it gradually rebounded and is currently oscillating between 91,800 and 92,200, successfully holding the key psychological support level of 90,000.
From this round of market movement, the divergence among participants is quite evident. During the sharp correction, large investors took the opportunity to accumulate, while retail investors were forced to cut losses, putting significant pressure on market sentiment—the fear index remains high. But from another pe
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MercilessHalalvip:
Holding onto 90,000 is just a way to weed out the newcomers. Honestly, I don't believe retail investors can withstand this wave.
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The Federal Reserve has just sent a seemingly contradictory signal—interest rate cuts are continuing, but their tone is becoming more hawkish. On December 10th, they cut by another 25 basis points, bringing the rate to 3.50%-3.75%, marking the third cut this year with a total reduction of 75 basis points.
But there's a detail worth noting: the dot plot indicates that there might be only one more cut in 2026, and Powell's statements have also become more cautious, emphasizing "decisions at each meeting." In other words, the rate-cut cycle is nearing its end.
Interestingly, the market has comple
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MeaninglessApevip:
Powell said to tighten, and the market turned around and bought, bought, bought. That move was really brilliant haha

This wave of US Treasury yields plummeting must have made the bulls very excited. Risk assets are indeed low-interest vampires.

Christmas行情 is coming? Why do I feel like I’m just telling myself a story again?

The easing cycle is about to end. Can it still be this great next year... I’m a bit worried.

Silver hitting a new all-time high, but it feels like hot money is just running wild.

Low-interest-rate environmental protection funds, but this狂欢 of risk assets won't last long.

The hawkish signals are being ignored. Is the market really just collectively deceiving itself?
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#加密生态动态追踪 $ETH
The actions of institutions are becoming increasingly obvious. A senior executive from a leading compliant platform recently stated that "digital assets will exist long-term," and signals of traditional finance embracing crypto are appearing intensively. This market cycle may truly be different.
BTC surges towards 200,000, ETH approaches 250,000, BNB hits 8,000—these numbers are not baseless—behind them are the liquidity released by spot ETFs, the opening of global payment networks, and the substantial investments by top-tier institutions💎
Has the four-year cycle been broken? T
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SerumSquirtervip:
Institutional involvement has definitely changed the flavor, but can it really break the four-year cycle? I still have some reservations.

Pensions coming in is indeed impressive, but the retail investors getting burned hasn't lessened; it's just a different set of chives.
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#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 The Bank of Japan is expected to announce a rate hike decision at the meeting on December 18-19—this is almost a certainty.
**Numbers Speak**
The central bank plans to raise the policy interest rate from the current 0.5% to around 0.75%, a 25 basis point increase. This is the highest level since September 1995. What does this mean? Japan’s 30-year super-low interest rate era is coming to an end.
Governor Ueda Kazuo’s previous comments were interpreted by the market as having deeper implications—he mentioned weighing the "pros and cons" of a rate hike. This statement at the time
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BrokeBeansvip:
Are we going to run as soon as Japan hikes interest rates? This arbitrage chain should have been broken long ago. Using yen to speculate on cryptocurrencies is like drinking poison to quench thirst.
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The Fed's interest rate cut expectations continue to develop, and market risk appetite has improved. Based on recent Ethereum trends, there are indeed several noteworthy opportunities for strategic positioning.
The 2950 level below is a good support point for bulls; if it can hold, there is room for action. Looking higher, around 9800 follows the same logic — as long as it doesn't break below, there remains potential for upward movement.
However, there are two scenarios to consider: if the rebound reaches around 3030, as long as it doesn't fall below the closing line, there is still hope; conv
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FOMOmonstervip:
If I can't hold 2950, I'll cry; 3500 is really a hurdle.
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Friends who are still wide awake at 3 a.m. staring at the charts should have felt that suffocating sensation. On one side is the intense internal policy struggle within the Federal Reserve, and on the other side, the market tormenting itself through extreme volatility. The chart patterns resemble an electrocardiogram, more nerve-wracking than the risk of contract liquidations.
This internal divide within the Federal Reserve, frankly, is a no-win multiple-choice question. The hawks and doves have completely torn into each other, with the core dispute being simple: should they continue to fight
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DefiPlaybookvip:
Trading at 3 a.m. is only for rookies. I now only look at on-chain data and Powell's Twitter records.

Is the rate cut window closed? It was priced in long ago. Those only reacting now are just bagholders.

Instead of stressing over adding or reducing positions, it's better to consider if there's an arbitrage opportunity. When liquidity dries up, we have to rely on ourselves to hunt for opportunities.

This round of the Federal Reserve's gamble is essentially betting on our stop-loss orders—playing psychological games.

When liquidity is tight, it's actually a good opportunity to find protocols with high APY—just see whose code can withstand audits.

Policy swings are indeed fierce, but the real flow of funds on the chain never lies—that's the true signal.
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Someone discovered an interesting phenomenon. Taking FOLKS as an example, at 12:00 noon today, the funding rate was still at a negative 2 level, but suddenly jumped to 0.7, accompanied by a noticeable decline in trading volume and loosening of positions.
More importantly, the platform changed the funding settlement cycle from every 4 hours to 1 hour in just 5 minutes. Such a rapid adjustment is indeed somewhat outrageous.
What is the logic behind this? One hypothesis is: by shortening the cycle, increasing the frequency of funding deductions during periods of high volatility, thereby amplifyin
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GasBanditvip:
Here comes the old trick of cutting leeks again, changing the cycle in 5 minutes is really incredible.

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From -2 to 0.7, this contrast is too harsh, clearly a signal of harvesting.

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This platform is full of bad intentions, it's better to stay away.

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Changing the rules every 5 minutes? Do they have to be so blatant haha.

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With this wave of operations on the funding rate, the guys holding positions are probably going bankrupt.

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That's how the platform is, they change the rules at will, can't compete.

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FOLKS, this matter is outrageous, it feels like they're deliberately sweeping people's positions.

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The rate goes from negative to positive, and it happens so quickly, just thinking about it, you know what's going on.

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Changing the cycle every 5 minutes? Isn't this just telling you they're harvesting.

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It's the same old trick, always first suppress the price and then accelerate the harvest, a classic move.
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The Bank of Japan's move this time is indeed significant. Not only are they pushing for interest rate hikes, but they also plan to extend the rate hike cycle, with the target interest rate needing to surpass 0.75% before considering a pause. Next week is the time for the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision, and the market is all waiting for this result. Once the new policy is implemented, the pressure on Bitcoin may increase. Changes in central bank policies usually trigger re-pricing of risk assets, and an extended rate hike cycle means liquidity tightening will last longer, which may not
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LightningLadyvip:
Another rate hike? Is Japan the devil? Liquidity has already been drained, and yet they want to continue.
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Recently, the cryptocurrency world has exploded. Do Kwon, who once stirred the entire market and weaved wealth dreams with LUNA and Terra, has now been officially sentenced to 15 years in prison. The news is still fermenting, but the warning to the entire industry is already very clear.
Remember? Terra once attracted millions of investors. At that time, everyone was discussing this project and its founder, seemingly believing that holding LUNA could share the dividends of a new world. But reality gave us a loud slap.
There are three questions worth deep thinking behind this incident. First is
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#数字资产生态回暖 1000U Climbing to 5W+: My Minimal Roll-Over Trading Log
$ETH $ZEC $BEAT
By the end of last year, my account only had 1000U. I never used high leverage or gambled on futures.
But just like that, with a simple roll-over logic, I forced the principal up to 5W+.
No myths, no luck involved. To be honest, I just did three things:
Watch the rhythm, control your hands, and stick to discipline.
**First Trick: 15-Minute Entry Point**
Only focus on mainstream coins with fund movements—like ETH / BNB.
Why? High liquidity, hard to get trapped.
Entry conditions are very simple:
15-minute timeframe
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SleepyValidatorvip:
It just looks like repeatedly buying on MACD golden cross for short-term trading, nothing new...
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#加密生态动态追踪 Ethereum's successive upgrades have always been accompanied by corresponding market performance, and this privacy protocol update is no exception. The 3068 price level might just be an intermediate point. The key factor is the Federal Reserve's liquidity policy— the combined effect of interest rate cut expectations and liquidity release— which often triggers a new round of market activation. $ETH $DOGE $ZEC assets like this have historically been in positions worth paying attention to. Rather than waiting for the market to take off before rushing to follow, it's better to clarify you
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DefiPlaybookvip:
Based on on-chain data, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and this wave of liquidity release are indeed key variables, but is 3068 really just an intermediate station? We need to keep observing the Fed's actual actions.
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#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 This bearish market still has some tricks up its sleeve. The $ICNT asset has recently experienced a significant decline, dropping over 20 points, but a rebound signal is gradually emerging. Speaking of which, $PIPPIN and $GIGGLE have been performing quite interestingly during the recent market correction, and many investors are starting to pay attention to the sustainability of this rebound.
The impact of the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting is still unfolding, and the crypto market's rhythm is fluctuating along with these macroeconomic changes. If the market can break through key
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PIPPIN7.57%
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UnluckyValidatorvip:
A 20-point drop really can't be withstanded, and the $ICNT trend is just nonsense.
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#美联储降息 My approach might sound a bit "silly," but the results are right here:
**1. Discipline in holding positions comes above everything else.** Only allocate 30% of your capital for trial and error, while keeping the remaining main position intact. Never chase TPs or trade frequently throughout the day; during downturns, it actually makes you feel more at ease — this is precisely where others fail to profit. When a big market movement arrives, lock in some profits and pocket them, while riding the trend with the rest, letting compound interest work for you.
**2. Selecting the right coins is
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failed_dev_successful_apevip:
Talking about strategies on paper is easy; how many can truly endure the downturn? It sounds good, but execution is the real hell.
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