ChainGuestShixin
vip
Age 0 Yıl
Peak Tier 0
No content yet
On the weekly chart, there are only two important support levels below the decline: one is MicroStrategy at 75,000, and the other is MA200 at 56,000. However, it is undoubtedly expected to break below these levels next year. The current support at MA100 at 85,000 is unlikely to hold. Once broken, the support level will turn into resistance, and the subsequent rebound on the weekly chart is likely to be very weak!
View Original
post-image
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
The post-00s in the crypto circle are more numerous than I imagined.
Recently, all the new accounts I came across are students from 04 / 05 and even 06 / 07.
And everyone is quite outstanding, daring to fight + dare to explore,
They are at an age full of energy, and the future belongs to them.
Stop saying that the post-00s are not capable. 😄
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
As of December 18, 2025, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) current policy interest rate is 0.5%.
The market widely expects a 25 basis point rate hike to 0.75% at this week's (December 18-19) monetary policy meeting, which would be the highest level in 30 years (since 1995).
This probability is as high as 94%-95%, with main driving factors including: Japan's core inflation remaining above the 2% target (2025 core CPI is expected to be 2.4%-2.7%).
Strong wage growth (the spring 2026 labor-management negotiations are expected to continue the high increases of 2025).
The previous yen depreciation has led to
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
ChainGuestShixinvip:
One sentence summary: Japan's interest rate hike = the "pump" for global risk assets has started. Crypto brothers, in the short term, manage leverage carefully, cash is king, and don't stubbornly hold on. After this wave of liquidations passes, then look for buying opportunities at lower prices. That's all—retail investors' blood and tears lesson: when others are raising interest rates, it's time for us to reduce positions.
How Japan's rate hike affects our major A-share market:
The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at the December 19, 2025, monetary policy meeting, increasing the policy rate from 0.5% to 0.75%, reaching a 30-year high.
Main reasons include the continued core CPI exceeding the 2% target, the formation of wage-price cycles, the depreciation of the yen intensifying import inflation, and the narrowing of the US-Japan interest rate differential amid the Fed's rate cuts.
Overall impact on A-shares: "Short-term disturbance, limited in the long run": In the short term,
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Two scenarios: The Bank of Japan announces a rate hike vs. The Bank of Japan maintains interest rates:
The Bank of Japan announces a rate hike (currently market expectations are as high as 80%-98%) Core impact: Large-scale unwinding of yen carry trades.

• Impact on Bitcoin: Bearish (short-term turbulence)
• Liquidity contraction: Many institutional players borrow cheap yen (interest nearly 0), then convert to USD to buy Bitcoin. Once the yen hikes, borrowing costs increase, and the yen will appreciate. These big players, to repay debts, must sell their Bitcoin holdings to free up f
BTC0.54%
ETH-1.72%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
On December 19th, the Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting. The market expects it to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, increasing the policy rate from 0.5% to 0.75%. 0.75% may not sound high, but it is the highest rate in Japan in nearly 30 years.
In prediction markets like Polymarket, traders are pricing a 98% probability of this rate hike. Why would a central bank decision in Tokyo cause Bitcoin to drop 5% within 48 hours? The answer starts with something called "yen arbitrage trading."
The logic is simple: Japan's interest rates have been near zero or negative for a long
BTC0.54%
ETH-1.72%
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
If the price and MACD both move upward, it indicates that the market will continue to strengthen and rally. Never short until the price moves up and MACD moves down, then the market will weaken.
If the price and MACD both move downward, it indicates that the market will continue to weaken and decline. Never go long until the price moves down and MACD moves up, then the market will strengthen.
If you encounter a secondary top divergence on the daily chart, you must take a low leverage short position.
If you encounter a secondary low divergence on the daily chart, you must take a low leverage lo
ETH-1.72%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Oh no, the crypto market has started to panic again these days. Bitcoin has dropped from over 90,000 to the low 80,000s. Everyone is asking: the Bank of Japan hasn't even raised interest rates yet, so why did BTC "drop out of respect" first? Simply put, the core issue is the yen carry trade working against us.
In recent years, Japan's interest rates have been extremely low. People borrow cheap yen and convert it into dollars to buy high-risk assets—Bitcoin is a typical beneficiary, surging when liquidity loosens. Now, the Bank of Japan is very likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points
BTC0.54%
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
ChainGuestShixinvip:
It is indeed the yen carry trade that is fueling the market—borrowing Japan's "zero-interest money" to go all-in on BTC. Now the big players want to collect interest, so everyone is of course fleeing early! This isn't called a decline; it's a "strategic retreat," those who understand know.
Bear market preservation first. Heavy holders consider reducing positions/stop-loss, light holders hold coins and watch or trade small short-term positions. Do not go all-in with leverage, do not chase hot spots.
As of December 18, 2025, the overall cryptocurrency market remains sluggish, with Bitcoin (BTC) hovering between $85,000 and $95,000, Ethereum (ETH) fluctuating around $3,000-3,300, and most altcoins performing worse, with the total market cap shrinking by over $1 trillion from the October peak.
The market lacks strong rebounds, volatility decreases, and trading volume contracts.
Bitc
BTC0.54%
ETH-1.72%
SOL-2.45%
XRP-1.15%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
The worst days of liquidity in 2025
Dropped so much, but the rebound still has no strength
Bch, Xmr these two coins are empty 1% daily position
坚持60天,不赚钱,我悟空倒过来写😌#BNB
BCH-1.51%
BNB-2.07%
View Original
post-image
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Its true purpose is to make you think through a trade before the market moves: where to enter, where to exit, and whether the risk is large or small.
Whether it's a double top, double bottom, or flag pattern, the actual action is never taken immediately after the pattern just appears.
The truly worthwhile trades are always those where the price revisits and tests a level, because only in those places is the stop loss clear.
Therefore, a reliable trading plan is actually very simple:
Enter after the retest; place stop loss outside the previous high or low; the risk-reward ratio should be at lea
ETH-1.72%
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
2025
You have sent a total of 130 times "Bull Return, Quickly Come Back"
Sent 200 times "The Big Bull Market is Here"
129 times "The Largest Bull Market for Post-00s is Coming"
380 times "Don't Be Afraid, It's Just a Technical Adjustment"
864 times "Damn, I Lost Big Again"
Your level of optimism surpasses 99% of retail investors nationwide. 😄#ETH走势分析
ETH-1.72%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Yesterday, a天地针 (Heaven and Earth Needle) market trend appeared, because tomorrow is the 19th, and the Japanese interest rate hike news has been confirmed. After the US stock market opened, it also plunged significantly, indicating that funds are seeking safe havens;
The next key time point is the year-end options expiration on the 26th. As long as Japan's interest rate hike path aligns with expectations, the market will not break below in December. The focus will then shift to the options market around the 26th, so around 84 and 85 can still be considered as bottom levels for swing trading; #
ETH-1.72%
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Based on US stock exchange margin indicators (such as FINRA margin debt data), the current market has entered a highly leveraged stage, exhibiting bubble characteristics. Since mid-2025, this indicator has continuously hit new all-time highs, with implied leverage levels significantly increasing, far surpassing previous mid-cycle peaks since 2009, and approaching or locally resembling the levels seen during the 2007 peak, but still below the internet bubble peak of 2000. During this leverage bubble phase, market movements are more driven by liquidity flows rather than fundamentals. Once the ex
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
MiaoRenCiGangvip:
Definitely not
The reason why metaphysical fortune-telling has a high penetration rate in the crypto circle, I think, is largely because over the years, many people have made big money in a daze, while many others have worked hard but ended up losing a lot. When you haven't put in much effort but coincidentally gain wealth far beyond the norm, and when you work very hard but can't figure out why you've lost so much money, and all of this can't be explained by common sense like effort or intelligence, it can only be attributed to timing, luck, and ultimately fate.
View Original
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Don't touch the contracts!!!!!!!
I didn't play with contracts before, and recently there hasn't been much market movement, so I impulsively played with contracts. So far, the returns are okay...
I'm going to deliver food!!!!#bnb
BNB-2.07%
View Original
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
  • Trending TopicsView More
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)