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Super Risk Week Before Christmas! Macro Highlights from December 15-19: Employment, Inflation, Bank of Japan + Congress ACA Battles, Potentially Triggering the 2026 Government Shutdown Crisis!

This week (December 15-19) is the most critical week before Christmas! November non-farm employment (delayed release due to government shutdown), November CPI (October data missing), Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting, and the congressional debate over the expiration of subsidies for the ACA "Affordable Care Act."
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Dr. Kong Jianping has issued another bold statement!🔥🤯
"One million dollars in Bitcoin is just the starting point!"
12 years ago, when $BTC was only around $100, Dr. Kong boldly predicted: Bitcoin would reach $100,000! At that time, many people thought he was crazy, but now it has long been achieved and far exceeded 📈
Today, he directly upgrades his view: $1 million is just the new starting point, and there is even more room to grow! Why? The narrative of Bitcoin as digital gold is becoming stronger and stronger, with global liquidity floods, institutional entry, and sovereign fund allocat
BTC-1.92%
ETH-4.48%
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Breaking news! U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen issues a stern warning: by early 2026, each household may receive a massive tax refund of $1,000-$2,000, causing Democrats to tremble!

Breaking news shocks the entire US! Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent just revealed that due to the tax cut law signed by Trump, the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" (OBBBA), many working families will receive a "very large" tax refund in the first quarter of 2026, estimated at $1,000 to $2,000 per household, totaling $100-150 billion.
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The truth about the AI bubble revealed: 244 times the price-to-sales ratio, far exceeding the internet peak. Is it an opportunity or a trap?

As the AI boom sweeps across the globe, we set aside emotions and focus on the essence of the data. Taking ChatGPT as an example, out of 800 million monthly active users worldwide, only 37.5 million are paying users, with annual revenue of approximately $11.25 billion.
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The high-leverage gamblers on Hyperliquid are actually fewer than you think!🤯🔥
In the past 24 hours, the total open interest (OI) across the platform reached $7.63 billion, but the leverage distribution reveals a harsh truth:
3-7x leverage: $3.7 billion, the largest share! A stable mid-level leverage zone, the main force is here📊
0-3x low leverage: $2.77 billion, following closely
Above 7x: a sharp drop-off, very few high-leverage players🚨
However, there are distortions at both ends of the data, so we must view it rationally:
▶️ Low leverage zone: Many hedge funds are shorting heavily, hol
HYPE-8.74%
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"Crypto is dead" is not bad news; it marks the true beginning of the crypto industry’s winning phase.
This article has recently gone viral in overseas circles, not because of bearish price predictions, but because it touches on a harsh reality happening in the industry—"Cryptocurrency, as an independent world, is heading towards disintegration."
The author is not an outsider. On the contrary, he is a seasoned "old crypto" who has experienced ICOs, #DeFi Summer, #NFT , points, #空投 , #meme in full. Because he is inside the circle, he realizes a brutal fact:
Over the past decade, crypto has been
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When stocks held by American families are more expensive than houses, is a cold winter approaching?

The proportion of stock assets has long and clearly surpassed real estate. On paper, the total value of stocks in American households is already more valuable than their houses. What you really need to be cautious about is not the index, but your own asset allocation.
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Yesterday, #麻吉 's brother lost everything, but he came back again early this morning! 🔥🤯
According to on-chain data, this familiar buddy address recharged 1.2 million $USDC to the exchange, then opened a long position worth $11.97 million $ETH !
Entry price: $2940
Liquidation price: $2695
(meaning as long as #ETH drops below 2695, this position will be liquidated immediately, and the 1.2 million margin will be wiped out)
That waterfall yesterday already wiped out his previous position, and early this morning he continued to add more without rest, leveraging to the max—a typical "lose eve
USDC0.01%
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MiaoRenCiGangvip:
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Why not consider the current U.S. economy as a "recession"?

The essence of PMI is not to predict whether the economy is "good or bad," but to determine whether economic activity is expanding or contracting. 50 is the dividing line; above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 signifies contraction.
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Li Lu points out investment misconceptions: opportunities are not scarce; understanding is the real scarcity

Known as "China's Buffett" by Munger and one of the Chinese investors closest to Buffett and Munger, Li Lu rarely makes public statements, but almost every time they are carefully studied. It's not because of his techniques, but because his way of thinking is sufficiently fundamental, long-term, and honest.
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Don’t blame the coins for being too many! Alt Season is just an economic cycle, the real climax has not arrived yet!🔥📈
Raoul Pal directly pointed out at Solana Breakpoint 2025: The performance of altcoins is essentially a mirror of economic issues! Currently, the economic cycle is sluggish, the ISM manufacturing index continues to decline, and the $ETH/$BTC ratio has dropped significantly. These are normal phenomena, not because altcoins are weak, but because the overall environment has not yet reached the stage of “risk appetite” explosion.🤯
Once corporate profits start to rebound and the
ETH-4.48%
BTC-1.92%
SOL-4.22%
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Pre-market US stocks watch: congested signals amid high-level fluctuations

Last night, the US stock market showed mixed gains and losses on the surface, but the underlying structure was not easy. The slight rise in the Nasdaq largely depended on Tesla reaching a new high and a few tech giants supporting the index, which was forcibly pulled back from its intraday lows; meanwhile, the Dow Jones and S&P 500 have fallen for the third consecutive trading day. Against the backdrop of continued deterioration in market breadth, this kind of market—"indices okay, but feeling weak"—itself indicates fragility.
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Why do we believe BTC will quickly return to the $126,000 high point

What truly drives BTC to new highs is not sentiment, not technical patterns, but the fact that the bond market is losing its original "anchoring function."
BTC-1.92%
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Brothers, let's review the impact of Japan's interest rate hikes on Bitcoin!📉🔥
The core destructive power of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hikes actually comes from the "Yen Carry Trade" closing: for many years, Japan's ultra-low/negative interest rates allowed global institutions and speculators to borrow yen at almost zero cost, convert to USD, and invest in high-yield risk assets, including $BTC, US stocks, tech stocks, etc., totaling trillions of dollars!💰
Once Japan raises interest rates, the cost of borrowing yen increases + the yen appreciates, squeezing the arbitrage space, and every
BTC-1.92%
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Gradual Release: Top 10 Crypto Investment Themes of 2026, Long-term Trends Where Institutional Funds Are Starting to Position Early

Grayscale has released its top ten investment themes for the 2026 crypto market. This list is not a short-term market forecast but outlines, from the perspectives of macro, regulation, technology, and business models, the key pathways through which institutional capital sees the crypto industry potentially mainstreaming. It has clear long-term allocation reference value.
BTC-1.92%
ETH-4.48%
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Damn, it really exploded! 🔥💥
$HYPE Large-scale buyback and burn officially confirmed!
Hyperliquid Foundation just initiated and passed a vote, officially acknowledging that all bought-back HYPE has been permanently burned, completely removed from circulation! 🗑️🚀
According to the latest data: approximately 37,000,000 HYPE tokens have been burned.
Here's the key point—since the beginning, the buyback address has been a pure black hole address! There are no private keys, and the foundation didn't leave a backdoor for itself. These tokens have been effectively out of circulation since the da
HYPE-8.74%
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Trump can't influence the Federal Reserve, so he resorts to the Treasury Department's "liquidity injection" to keep the market alive

In the absence of direct influence over Federal Reserve policies, the U.S. Treasury Department is injecting liquidity into the market through more covert but equally effective means. Since the U.S. government shutdown ended on November 12, the Treasury General Account (TGA) balance has decreased by approximately $160 billion, with a single week drop of $78 billion last week, setting a phased record. This type of "fiscal easing" is becoming an important short-term variable that the market cannot ignore.
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