## 2026 Yen to USD Outlook: Severe Institutional Divergence, Is It Bullish or Bearish?
Since entering 2025, the tug-of-war between the Yen and USD has never ceased. The Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle has begun, the Bank of Japan has accelerated rate hikes, and domestic political uncertainties have frequently emerged—these factors combined make the outlook for the USD/JPY( exchange rate in 2026 highly uncertain, with major Wall Street institutions showing unprecedented divergence.
## Can Fiscal Stimulus Suppress the Yen to USD Exchange Rate?
JPMorgan's view directly addresses the core issue:
View OriginalSince entering 2025, the tug-of-war between the Yen and USD has never ceased. The Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle has begun, the Bank of Japan has accelerated rate hikes, and domestic political uncertainties have frequently emerged—these factors combined make the outlook for the USD/JPY( exchange rate in 2026 highly uncertain, with major Wall Street institutions showing unprecedented divergence.
## Can Fiscal Stimulus Suppress the Yen to USD Exchange Rate?
JPMorgan's view directly addresses the core issue: