The 2020 COVID panic We are officially in extreme, historic fear territory But here’s the uncomfortable question: If fear is worse than during FTX, worse than Luna, worse than a global lockdown… what exactly is the market pricing in right now? Capitulation doesn’t happen when people feel a bit nervous. It happens when confidence is completely gone Sentiment is at levels that have historically marked major bottoms Not because the news improves but because sellers eventually run out. Fear at 5 means:
Retail is exhausted
Weak hands are shaken
Liquidity is thin
Volatility expansion is near The crowd feels safest at tops. The crowd feels terrified at bottoms. This is the part of the cycle that tests conviction. The question isn’t whether fear is high. It’s whether you understand what extreme fear has historically meant for the next phase.
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Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropped
Let that sink in 👇
This is lower than:
The tariffs crash
The August 2024 crash
The FTX collapse
The 2020 COVID panic
We are officially in extreme, historic fear territory
But here’s the uncomfortable question:
If fear is worse than during FTX, worse than Luna, worse than a global lockdown…
what exactly is the market pricing in right now?
Capitulation doesn’t happen when people feel a bit nervous.
It happens when confidence is completely gone
Sentiment is at levels that have historically marked major bottoms
Not because the news improves but because sellers eventually run out.
Fear at 5 means:
Retail is exhausted
Weak hands are shaken
Liquidity is thin
Volatility expansion is near
The crowd feels safest at tops.
The crowd feels terrified at bottoms.
This is the part of the cycle that tests conviction.
The question isn’t whether fear is high.
It’s whether you understand what extreme fear has historically meant for the next phase.