2026-01-09 16:33:32

Supplementary Analysis of Tariff Ruling: From the market response, investors are quite pessimistic about this ruling. The current consensus is that there is a very high probability that this decision will be overturned by the court, which could mean significant adjustments to the entire policy framework. Such policy uncertainty typically puts pressure on risk assets, including the cryptocurrency market. If the court indeed overturns the original ruling, it could trigger a new wave of market sentiment volatility. From a trading perspective, this expectation gap itself is a noteworthy signal—the market has already been digesting negative outcomes in advance, and the subsequent trend may depend on the extent of deviation between the actual ruling and expectations.

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gas_fee_therapist

· 01-12 15:39

Court overturns? Come on, it's been digested long ago, now we're just waiting for a reversal to surprise us. --- I'm tired of hearing the same story about policy uncertainty pressure. The problem is, when will the crypto world not be under pressure🤔 --- The gap in expectations definitely needs to be watched, but honestly, it still depends on how the court rules. Everything else is just clouds. --- Market pre-digestion of negatives? Then when positive news arrives, shouldn't there also be an early rebound? The logic makes sense, right? --- The crypto market is so tightly bound to policies, when can it become independent? --- I really don't understand the issue of tariffs. I just want to know when Bitcoin can go up. --- The expectation gap is worth paying attention to, but when it comes to actual market trends, who cares about expectations? It's all hindsight. --- It sounds like they're saying—it's normal to fall now, and it's strange if it rises, right😂

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NullWhisperer

· 01-12 15:35

honestly the market's already priced in the doom scenario here... which means if court doesn't actually flip it, we might see an interesting bounce? that's the trade tbh

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SatsStacking

· 01-11 09:15

What is the probability that the court will overturn? Should we now buy the dip or hide? --- I understand the logic of the expectation gap, which is that the market is just waiting for the shoe to drop. --- Policy uncertainty is the most annoying thing; how low can this wave of coins go... --- Wait, once all the negative news is digested, won't it take off during the rebound? --- Honestly, this kind of expectation versus reality play is the most exciting game in the casino. --- The entire framework needs adjustment; it feels like this round of the market has just begun. --- Crypto has to endure the beating with risk assets again; when will it have an independent trend? --- The market has already digested the negative outcomes... what about when positive results come?

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WalletDoomsDay

· 01-11 04:45

Coming back with this again? If the probability of the court overturning is so high, it should have already crashed to the ground... Now someone is actually buying the dip, I really don’t get it. The expectation gap is basically just betting on the right timing. I’d rather wait and see before making a move. Tariffs are giving me a headache. The crypto market is just flailing around with all this chaos... If there’s really a reversal, that would be exciting haha. Policies are such a pain, might as well just go all in on shitcoins.

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BearHugger

· 01-09 17:03

Once the court overturns this matter, it's over, and the crypto market will drop again... Expectation gaps are really something you can profit from...

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MainnetDelayedAgain

· 01-09 17:02

According to the database, the digestion period for this wave of expectation differences has lasted 147 days, and it has been half a year since the last "court overturn" promise went live. It is recommended that the project team supplement a new ruling timetable and include it in the delay data statistics.

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0xSleepDeprived

· 01-09 16:58

The court overturning us directly causes a drop, this rebound is probably fake... --- Here comes policy uncertainty again, this time I bet on the reverse. The market is pessimistic but might actually rebound. --- The expectation gap is the hardest to grasp. Will the court really overturn? Seems like everyone guessed wrong. --- The fate of the crypto market is in the hands of legal authorities, which is really absurd. --- Oh man, this policy news is even harder to read than K-line charts... If I had known, I wouldn't have traded this. --- Wait, the market has already fallen this much? That’s actually a buy signal. --- When did tariff rulings become so tied to BTC prices? Truly impressive. --- Expectation gap arbitrage? Give me 100x leverage and teach me how to make money haha. --- Honestly, I have no idea how the court will rule, just waiting to be cut like a leek.

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MidnightTrader

· 01-09 16:56

If the court overturns our case, we have to run now. Those who run early might have the advantage. Wait, about the expectation gap... has the market already underperformed? Then is the rebound potential underestimated? Policy uncertainty is the most annoying, and the crypto sector is already fragile, now this happens. Honestly, people bottom-fishing now are really brave, betting that the court will uphold the ruling? With such poor market sentiment, I really want to see how the actual results will prove everyone wrong.

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BoredApeResistance

· 01-09 16:34

There is still an opportunity in the expected divergence; the key depends on how the court rules... Right now, everyone is thinking the worst, which might actually be a bottom signal?

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