The year 2025 has entered with mega bull expectations, but the year 2025 is not going as expected.
At this point, Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen approximately 23% from its ATH, decreasing to the $80,000 level; let’s see what investors expect from BTC.
According to Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin dropping to $70,000 in 2025 is 69%, while the probability of the BTC price reaching $110,000 is priced at 59%.
Once, the close target for Bitcoin was $120,000, which is now priced at 47%.
The probability of BTC price reaching $130,000 is seen as 37%, while the probability of reaching $150,000 is 29%.
The probability of Bitcoin reaching a price of $200,000 is 15%, the probability of reaching $250,000 is 12%, and the probability of reaching $1,000,000 is priced at 4%.
At the beginning of the year, the probability of Bitcoin reaching a price of $120,000 within 2025 was priced at 71%. In fact, by the end of January, it rose to 87% until Trump’s inauguration date. However, after Donald Trump took office, it consistently fell.
Another important expectation is focused on the altcoin ETFs waiting in front of the SEC. According to the data, the likelihood of approval for the Solana ETF is 89%, for the XRP ETF it is 77%, for the Litecoin ETF it is 72%, and for the Dogecoin ETF it is 69%.
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