Mined 1 coin costs $20,000 in losses! Bitcoin miners spark a wave of fleeings as “mining difficulty” drops sharply by 7.8%

The Bitcoin mining industry is facing severe challenges. With the price of coins falling, energy prices soaring, and geopolitical risks escalating, many miners find themselves trapped in a “mining leads to losses” situation.
On-chain data platform Checkonchain’s “Difficulty Regression Model” (which estimates average production costs through network difficulty and energy input) shows that as of March 13, the cost of mining one Bitcoin has skyrocketed to $88,000.
However, as of the time of writing, the spot price of Bitcoin is around $68,000. This means that for every Bitcoin mined, miners incur a loss of nearly $20,000; converted, this results in a 21% loss for each block mined.
Cost Storm and Geopolitical Double Blow: Oil Prices Surpassing $100 Become a Death Knell
Since Bitcoin plummeted from a high of $126,000 last October, breaking below the $70,000 mark, miners’ profit margins have been continuously squeezed; the recent outbreak of conflict in Iran has become the last straw that broke the camel’s back.
International oil prices have surged past $100 per barrel, directly driving up the substantial electricity costs required for mining. As a result, about 8% to 10% of global hashing power, located in regions highly sensitive to Middle Eastern energy supply, is enduring the most severe impacts.

To make matters worse, commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which controls about 20% of the world’s oil and gas transportation, has nearly come to a standstill. Coupled with U.S. President Donald Trump’s issuance of a “48-hour ultimatum,” threatening to attack Iranian power plants, the various geopolitical chain reactions have further exacerbated the miners’ precarious situation.
Network Data Raises Alarms: Hashrate Loss and Block Time Delays
Signs of miners exiting the market are gradually being reflected in network indicators.
The mining difficulty of Bitcoin has recently been reduced by 7.76% to 133.79 T. This follows an 11.16% drop in February due to the impact of the “Fern” winter storm, marking the second largest decline of 2026 to date. Currently, Bitcoin mining difficulty is not only down nearly 10% from the beginning of the year but is also far below the historical high of nearly 155 T in November 2025.
In addition, the total network hashrate has also significantly retreated to about 920 EH/s, far less than the astonishing record of 1 Zettahash (1,000 EH/s) set in 2025.
The loss of hashrate has led to an average block time being extended to 12 minutes and 36 seconds in the previous difficulty adjustment cycle, far exceeding the original 10 minutes designed for Bitcoin.

Sell-off Wave Emerges: Not Just an Industry Crisis, But a Market Structural Risk
According to the hashrate index released by Luxor Mining Pool, which measures the expected income per unit of hashrate for miners, the “Hashprice” is currently hovering around “$33.30 per PH/s” per day. This figure is nearly at the breakeven point for most mining machines, just a step away from the historical low of $28 set on February 23.
When expenses exceed income, the only way for miners to survive is to “sell Bitcoin for cash.”
This forced liquidation undoubtedly brings heavy selling pressure to an already weak market. It’s worth noting that currently, as much as 43% of Bitcoin holdings are in a state of loss, and large whales are also taking advantage of rebounds to offload at high prices, along with high-leverage positions dominating price movements. In other words, the pressure miners are currently facing is not only an industry issue but is gradually evolving into a significant variable affecting market structure.
Mining Companies’ Last Ditch Effort: Marching into AI and Hashrate Transformation
Faced with the dilemma of “losing money every day,” publicly listed mining companies are increasingly seeking transformation, extending their massive computing resources into artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) fields in hopes of obtaining more stable cash flows than mining. Major mining players, including Marathon Digital and Cipher Mining, have already begun to expand data centers based on existing mining sites.
According to data forecasts from CoinWarz, the next mining difficulty adjustment is expected in early April and is likely to be further lowered. If Bitcoin prices fail to return to the mining cost line of $88,000, this wave of “miner exodus” will undoubtedly continue to spread.

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