Odaily Planet Daily reports that digital asset management firm Bitwise Asset Management analyzed price data covering July 17, 2010, to February 11, 2026. The analysis shows that if investors hold Bitcoin for at least three years, the historical probability of experiencing a loss is only 0.70%. The longer the holding period, the lower the risk of loss: holding Bitcoin for 5 years reduces the loss probability to 0.2%, and holding for 10 years results in a 0% loss probability. In contrast, investors with holding periods of less than three years face higher risks, with intraday buyers having a 47.1% chance of unrealized losses, a 44.7% chance over one week, 43.2% over one month, and even a 24.3% chance of loss after one year. Bitwise points out that the current Bitcoin price is about $65,000, roughly 50% below the October 2025 peak. However, the realized price for the three- to five-year holding group is approximately $34,780, indicating that overall, investors in this range are still in about 90% unrealized profit. (Cointelegraph)
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Peter Brandt: The potential target price for crude oil futures is $214
Gate News Announcement, March 9th, renowned trader and chart analyst Peter Brandt, who successfully predicted the 2018 Bitcoin crash, released a chart indicating that the potential target price for WTI crude oil futures (international benchmark price) is $214. If this target is reached, it will cause a surge in airline fuel costs, severely impacting profits.
GateNews3m ago
NYDIG Research Director: Bitcoin price fluctuations are only 1/4 influenced by stock market correlation
NYDIG Research Director Greg Cipolaro pointed out that the recent rise of Bitcoin alongside the U.S. stock software sector is mainly driven by macro factors rather than structural convergence. He stated that only a quarter of Bitcoin price movements are related to the stock market, with 75% of the factors coming from other areas, emphasizing its role as a diversification tool in investment portfolios.
GateNews28m ago
332.09 BTC transferred from an anonymous address to a certain CEX, valued at approximately $134 million
Gate News Report, March 9th, according to Arkham data, at 11:43, 332.09 BTC (worth approximately $134 million) was transferred from an anonymous address (starting with bc1qnzx...) to a certain CEX.
GateNews30m ago
NYDIG Latest Report: Bitcoin's Correlation with Tech Stocks is Overestimated, 75% of Price Fluctuations Come from Cryptocurrency Market Factors
NYDIG points out that the recent synchronized movement between Bitcoin and U.S. tech stocks is primarily due to macroeconomic factors rather than structural correlation. Although their prices are similar, Cipolaro emphasizes that the rise in Bitcoin and tech stocks more reflects a common change in liquidity and risk appetite rather than fundamental convergence. Bitcoin's volatility remains mainly driven by its own market factors, and its diversification value in investment portfolios still exists.
GateNews31m ago
Bitcoin Falls to $66,000 Amid Oil Price Spike and Geopolitical Risks, Analysts Advise Cautious Positioning
Bitcoin has declined to approximately $66,000 as of March 9, 2026, retreating 10 percent from the $73,500 peak reached on March 5, as surging crude oil prices above $110 per barrel and escalating Middle East tensions drive risk-off sentiment across global markets.
CryptopulseElite50m ago
