[Token Analysis] Bitcoin "Bottoming Out" Signal... What Happens When 90% of Holders Are in Loss

BTC0,02%
LUNA2,35%

Whenever Bitcoin fluctuates, the market is always filled with various speculations. But behind the news and charts that the public sees, there is a hidden value that points to the moment when market energy is completely exhausted and the “true rebound” begins.

Experts unanimously agree that the bottom of Bitcoin will never feel safe. On the contrary, when everyone is shouting “It’s over” and leaving the market, a few winners are quietly watching this ‘percentile indicator’ and beginning to accumulate chips.

Many investors only become convinced that the bottom has arrived when they hear good news or see trading volume surge. But this is very likely already the stage where prices have risen from knee-high to waist-high.

Historically, Bitcoin’s ‘true bottom’ does not form when hope appears, but when 90% of all holders are ‘underwater’ and almost unable to breathe. From the Mt. Gox bankruptcy in 2015, the bear market in 2018, to the FTX crisis in 2022… every moment that pushed the market into the depths of fear, this indicator has invariably pointed to a ‘specific range’.

Where exactly is that range? How close is current Bitcoin to this historic opportunity point?

0~10% Range: “When the market pushes you away, it’s the opportunity”

According to the secret chart provided, Bitcoin’s true bottom invariably occurs within the MVRV percentile 0~10% range. The meaning of this range is very clear: it indicates that only 10% of market participants are in profit, representing an extreme ‘undervalued’ state.

2015 (200-300 USD): When news of “Mt. Gox killed Bitcoin” flooded the headlines, this indicator stayed near 0%.

2018-2019 (3000-4000 USD): In despair over “institutions won’t come,” this indicator again touched the 0~10% zone.

2022-2023 (15,000-20,000 USD): When the FTX and LUNA crises made the market seem on the verge of collapse, this indicator issued the third bottom signal.

  1. Risk Transfer: From Impatient to Patient

When this indicator enters the 0~10% range, it does not merely mean that prices are cheap. It is a quantification of ‘psychological capitulation.’ It represents the risk transfer process where the chips sold by impatient individual investors are taken over by smart money with a long-term perspective.

Therefore, the bottom will never feel safe. Because when the indicator points to 0~10%, the market will keep pressuring investors, urging them to “leave here quickly.”

  1. Are you ready for a ‘psychological test’?

This secret chart conveys a simple message: “When everyone wants to leave, can you stay?”

Current Bitcoin’s position has once again crossed an important watershed. If past patterns repeat, then the painful fluctuations we are experiencing may very well be the ‘0~10% opportunity’ that leads to creating historic wealth.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

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