XRP Price Prediction: Technical "Death Cross" Signal May Trigger a $1.50 Test; Will ETF Approval Save the Day?

XRP is currently approaching a critical support level at $2.20, with technical indicators showing signs of a “Death Cross,” suggesting a potential medium-term downtrend. If the price breaks below $2.10, the market could retest the $1.80–$1.50 range. However, if XRP can regain momentum and climb back above $2.35–$2.40, a short-term rebound toward $2.60 may be triggered. Overall, market sentiment remains bearish, and traders should monitor whether key support levels can hold.

XRP Technical Structure: Death Cross Forms

From a technical perspective, XRP’s chart is beginning to display a classic bearish pattern. On the daily chart, the 50-day moving average (SMA) is approaching and, according to some data sources, has already crossed below the 200-day SMA—this is known as a “Death Cross,” a strong technical signal that often indicates sustained weakness.

Meanwhile, momentum indicators continue to weaken, suggesting that short-term selling pressure could intensify before any significant support is found. The 50-day moving average has turned downward, implying that unless a strong reversal occurs, resistance remains on the downside.

Historically, this pattern often signals further price correction, especially when accompanied by low trading volume and a tightening macro environment, increasing the risk of continued decline.

Market Overview and On-Chain Data: Declining Activity, Cautious Sentiment

At press time, XRP trades near the $2.00 level, with intraday declines of several percentage points and larger weekly losses. Mainstream exchanges show increased trading volume, indicating capital reallocation.

Recent price movements have been concentrated between $2.15 and $2.30, with overall market sentiment dampened by rising Bitcoin dominance and outflows from ETF-related funds.

On-chain data further reveals:

• Active addresses and user engagement metrics have fallen from mid-year highs;
• Whale transaction activity has significantly decreased;
• Long-term holders are showing increased selling pressure.

This decline in on-chain participation, combined with a weak cross-asset environment, continues to pressure XRP’s short-term outlook.

Bullish Perspective: Holding $2.10–$2.20 Is Key

For bullish traders, maintaining support above the $2.10–$2.20 zone is crucial. If the price stabilizes and breaks above $2.35–$2.40, the short-term target could shift toward $2.60, easing bearish pressures.

Potential catalysts for a rebound include:

• Renewed institutional interest in XRP-related financial products (such as ETPs or funds);
• Positive regulatory signals;
• Resurgence in cross-border payments or remittance demand.

However, without fundamental support, any rebound may be limited by Bitcoin’s strength and overall market liquidity constraints.

Downside Risks: Testing $1.50 Support

If the Death Cross is confirmed and momentum indicators continue to weaken, XRP could retest the $1.80–$1.50 zone. This area is viewed as a structural support level; losing it could accelerate the downtrend.

Risks include:

• Persistent decline in on-chain activity;
• Continued outflows from ETFs;
• Long-term holders reducing their positions;
• Rising macro or regulatory uncertainties, leading to decreased risk appetite.

These factors could further diminish market liquidity and prevent sustained rebounds in the near term.

Overall Outlook: Short-Term Bearish, Watch $2.10

Currently, XRP is oscillating between $2.10 and $2.40, with technical signals favoring a bearish stance.

• A break below $2.10 could extend losses toward $1.80–$1.50;
• A rebound above $2.40 might open the path toward $2.60.

Until trading volume and on-chain activity pick up significantly, the price trend is likely to remain cautious and defensive.

Conclusion

XRP is at a critical technical and emotional juncture. The formation of a Death Cross adds downside risk, and the behavior of whales and long-term investors will be key in determining the next move. In the short term, investors should closely monitor whether support at $2.10 holds and whether on-chain activity can recover. Only with increased volume and buying interest might XRP break out of its current weakness and initiate a new rally.