Today is December 25th. BTC price is 87,785 (Merry Christmas)
A lot has happened in 2025: global debt crises, internal social conflicts, escalating geopolitical tensions, intensified great power rivalries, and the Silicon-based technological revolution. Any outbreak of these issues could change the world order. If you had recognized these macro factors earlier, would you choose to invest in gold, stocks, or cryptocurrencies? Ask yourself.
If these factors further erupt next year, how will you choose? You should think carefully because it’s highly likely they will intensify. Let’s analyze:
Firs

Today is December 24th, BTC price is 87,000
1. BTC has been weaker than expected, and short-term trends have changed somewhat, possibly leading to another small dip (see the video for details)
2. BTC underperformed gold, US stocks, and the A-shares market, becoming the worst-performing investment this year. I personally think the main reason is the large-scale withdrawal of risk capital. Due to changes in the macro environment, precious metals and tech stocks have become safer and more clearly defined targets, plus Japan's interest rate hike has intensified the liquidation of leveraged specula

Today is December 22, BTC price 88375 (sorry for the late update on today's travel)
1. The US dollar is lowering interest rates while the Japanese yen is raising interest rates; logically, both sides should converge, and the yen should appreciate. However, the reality is that the yen continues to depreciate, and the US stock market hasn’t fallen. What does this indicate? They are all just putting on a show, both the US and Japan have been gambling with their national fortunes for 26 years, speaking tough while actually planning to inject liquidity.
2. The first resistance level for BTC is

Today is December 19th BTC price 88303
1. In the past week, we have repeatedly emphasized that the bottom has been reached. If the contract breaks below 86000, it is a signal to go long. The process has been a bit tug-of-war, and we've been heavily criticized recently.
2. With Japan's interest rate hike ending, the upcoming trend will stabilize, and spot buyers are waiting for a weekly big bullish candle to push the price higher.
3. The analysis is not influenced by personal emotions and provides a technical perspective on the structural direction. Hope brothers understand.

Today is December 12th, BTC price is 92,080
Let's talk about 26 years initially. 25 was indeed poor; at the beginning of the year, BTC was over 80,000, and by the end of the year, over 90,000. Unfortunately, it didn't outperform the big A, let alone the US stock market. I believe 26 will be a turbulent and magnificent year, as the shift from carbon-based to silicon-based grand plans are gradually unfolding.
Domestically, the top priority is to expand domestic demand and technological competition. The new five-year plan aims to reach the level of a moderately developed country. The most effecti

Today is December 10th, and the BTC price is 92614
1. Tonight's view is that the probability of a rate cut is currently 87%, but due to the large internal controversy, it is possible that the speech will be more hawkish "such as reducing the probability of cutting interest rates next year". In addition, the real impact on the release of water is to restart QE (repurchase of treasury bonds), if there is really information about QE, then the market will be a real benefit. If there is no market, it still looks like it is volatile upward.
2. Yesterday's change of market I was not very sure of the

Today is November 28th, BTC price 91036
1. BTC has reached a stage of weak rebound on a small scale. Although the 5-day moving average is trending upwards, the 10 and 20-day moving averages are trending downwards. The small scale follows the larger scale, so be cautious of a pullback after a rise.
2. Here, the advantage of opening a short position in contracts is significant. When there is an intraday spike, go short; it will inevitably pull back (for details, please watch the video).
3. Small positions in spot can be held; if it pulls back, more can be added. For heavier positions, take profi