‍#Bitcoin Futures Liquidations Signal a Shift in Leverage Dominance

The $BTC Futures Long/Short Liquidations Dominance chart highlights clear regime changes in leveraged positioning over recent weeks. Periods dominated by short liquidations (green) have generally aligned with upside extensions in price, suggesting that rallies were driven less by organic spot demand and more by forced short covering. This dynamic often creates sharp, momentum-driven moves that can exhaust quickly once liquidation pressure fades.
Conversely, clusters of long liquidations (red) have tended to appear during local pullbacks or consolidation phases, indicating that overly optimistic leverage was being flushed out. These events typically coincide with short-term price weakness, but they also play a structural role by reducing excess leverage and resetting funding conditions, which can stabilize the market afterward.
From a macro on-chain perspective, the oscillation between long- and short-liquidation dominance reflects a market still highly sensitive to derivatives positioning rather than conviction-led spot accumulation. The 24h SMA of the liquidation oscillator shows that dominance regimes persist for multiple sessions, reinforcing the idea that traders are repeatedly leaning in the same direction before being forced out.
Overall, Bitcoin recent price behavior suggests a leverage-driven environment where liquidations act as the primary catalyst for volatility. Until liquidation dominance becomes less extreme and spot-driven flows regain influence, price action is likely to remain reactive, with sharp moves driven by positioning imbalances rather than sustained directional conviction.