2026-01-11 13:25:49

Recently, market trend predictions have become increasingly reliant on data support. Having experienced four bull and bear cycles over the past two years, I have gained a deeper sense of the market rhythm.

Currently, Bitcoin is in a typical consolidation and shrinking volume phase. Looking at the chart, various events have caused delays in the overall trend, but most are within expected ranges. The $108,000 level is a key resistance point; once it is stabilized, pushing towards $110,000 is not impossible. The prerequisite is that this energy accumulation cycle must be fully released.

From a position-building perspective, if $82,000 is considered the halfway point for this wave of accumulation, then the next bottom-fishing opportunities might appear around $78,000, $68,000, or even $65,000—depending on the extent of energy stored.

The sharp plunge caused by ETH's spike drop directly dragged down Bitcoin, which is a clear technical pattern. Market participants need to understand that there are no eternal prediction masters, only traders who continuously learn. True win rate comes from two parts: probabilistic judgment of trend points and strict risk management. This is a contest between rationality and discipline, ultimately testing the trader’s own depth of understanding.

BTC1%

ETH0,54%

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NotFinancialAdviser

· 18h ago

Data support is crucial, but honestly, prediction still depends on luck. --- If 108k can't hold, then wait for a dip at 68k to buy the bottom. Anyway, there's definitely an opportunity this round. --- That wave of ETH was really fierce, it’s a bit unfair to blame BTC for being dragged down, haha. --- The core still lies in risk control and cognition. Prediction masters are all armchair strategists after the fact. --- I've heard the term "energy accumulation cycle" too many times; now it’s just about whether it can truly be released. --- The 1/2 build-up point at 82k is set very clearly, but execution still depends on mindset. --- There’s no such thing as an eternal prediction master—that’s the most relatable. Think it over yourselves, everyone. --- If 108k can't be broken, just keep waiting. Anyway, there's plenty of time. --- Winning rate = probability judgment + risk control execution. Simple and straightforward, but that’s just how it is. --- Sudden sharp drops can really crush confidence; the technical patterns are right here.

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CommunityLurker

· 01-11 13:55

The data supports this statement sounds good, but the problem is why so many people are still going all-in based on intuition. After bragging about the win rate for so long, it still comes down to stop-loss to save lives—that's the real truth.

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GmGmNoGn

· 01-11 13:50

Data support is good, but I'm afraid data can also deceive us. Wait, can the 108 to 110 range really break through? It feels a bit uncertain. ETH's recent spike is really impressive, and Bitcoin's follow-up dip makes it look a bit awkward. There are no eternal prediction masters. Well said, we're all just betting on probabilities. I've heard the phrase "full energy release" quite a few times. When exactly will it be enough? I need to remember the 65,000 point. If it really crashes there, I must buy the dip.

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LayerZeroHero

· 01-11 13:48

Starting to talk about energy accumulation and release again, I just want to ask when this round of release will end. Let's wait for the prophecy of 110000; anyway, I won't gamble anymore. You're right, but it doesn't help. The key is to stick to the stop-loss level.

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TokenStorm

· 01-11 13:34

If 108000 can't break through, we all need to be ready to buy the dip at 68000. Anyway, I've already calculated the liquidation price for leverage.

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BTCWaveRider

· 01-11 13:30

Data support is real, but the prediction masters are all armchair strategists. --- After 108,000 blocks for so long, it feels just so-so. --- Talking about energy accumulation again, every time it’s the same story, and yet we still get caught. --- Risk management is well explained, but when it’s time to lose money, who can really stick to discipline? --- I’ve marked these levels at 78,000 and 68,000, just waiting to see what happens. --- Is ETH dragging down Bitcoin? Or is it just the main players using it as an excuse to dump? --- After four cycles, I’m still predicting; it’s better to just follow the main wallet. --- No matter how high the win rate, one big liquidation can wipe it out, so that’s not meaningful. --- Depth of understanding? I just want to ask who has really made money. --- Probability judgment plus disciplined execution, sounds like a textbook. --- 110,000 seems pretty far away; I feel there might be a dip before reaching 110,000.

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GasFeeDodger

· 01-11 13:27

Data support is the real deal; this guy is right.

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