The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year is as high as 86.7%—once this number was released, investors in the circle started to ponder. On the surface, it seems like "stability" is good news, but the truth of the market often hides beneath calmness.

Many believe that unchanged interest rates are a positive signal for crypto. But from another perspective, this could precisely be a period where institutional players are "strategically positioning." History shows us that the Fed's "holding steady" often coincides with a market "false calm"—retail investors feel safe, while large funds are quietly adjusting their positions, creating a golden window. Looking back at Bitcoin's movement last week, from a surge to 70,000 to a pullback, this volatility itself is a signal being released.

So what should retail investors do? The key is not to be fooled by the appearance of "stability." What is most needed now is "counterintuitive action"—being cautious when others are greedy, and thinking carefully about how to position when others are fearful. This "silence period" may seem uneventful, but it is actually a prelude to a storm.

Opportunities in altcoins often emerge during this time. The small coins that are wrongly punished and the "false rallies" of mainstream coins are very different. The market always completes reversals through "expectation gaps." This round of the Federal Reserve's "no move" is far from the end of the story; rather, it is a new beginning.

The key is to stay calm. Continuously monitor on-chain data and market changes, and be well-prepared so that when opportunities truly arrive, you can seize them.