Penurunan suku bunga 918 segera terjadi, bagaimana cara bermain dalam tren pasar ini? Berikut adalah pembahasan lengkap tiga skenario utama yang diperkirakan

Next Wednesday, the 918 Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced, and the market has already started to prepare. With such strong expectations of rate cuts, how will this wave of market movement unfold? Let’s consider possible scenarios:

Scenario 1: Dip First, Rise Later

Before the rate cut, the market is a bit cautious, experiencing a slight pullback and consolidation. Once the rate cut is confirmed and positive effects are realized, the market receives a “boost,” gradually climbing upward. This is the classic “policy-driven” pattern.

Scenario 2: Rise First, Dip Later

This is more painful — everyone anticipates the event, so they start buying in advance, pushing the market higher. When the rate cut actually happens, the positive effects are already priced in, and the market faces short-term pressure. But don’t worry, as the economy improves later, the market will rebound again.

Scenario 3: V-Shaped Reversal

On the day of the rate cut, the market initially surges, then pulls back, completing a “profit-taking” correction. However, this correction won’t be deep because the easing policy’s benefits will eventually be fully realized. After the adjustment, the market continues upward.

Key Logic: Regardless of the scenario, short-term fluctuations are noise. The main trend is clear — a loosening cycle is starting, and the overall direction is upward.

Practical Advice:

• Don’t get scared by daily K-line movements
• Use pullbacks as buying opportunities
• Once you build a position, hold steady
• Maintain a calm mindset — that’s the key to making money

While rate cuts are generally positive for the market, the rhythm of the trend depends on market participants. Short-term predictions are difficult, but as long as you grasp the main direction, you won’t get caught in traps. Witness history next week.