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Encryption KOL Ansem: This year BTC may fall below 100,000 USD, with hopes of a rebound in Q2 2026.
[Block Rhythm] On September 26, encryption KOL Ansem posted that, "I believe the green line (Bitcoin falling to $105,000 and then rebounding to break new highs) has a 15% probability, the blue line (Bitcoin falling to around $90,000 and then rebounding) has a 60% probability, and the red line (falling to around $75,000) has a 20% probability."
If Bitcoin falls below $100,000 this year and early 2026, buy as much as possible and sell at a higher price in 2028. I also agree that the "four-year cycle" is no longer applicable, but I think it will remain in a bear market longer than some analysts expect, with a longer downward period, and the upward trend will start to significantly kick off around the second quarter of 2026.
In the worst-case scenario, if a recession really occurs, Bitcoin may fall to $50,000 (5% probability).