高盛下调二季度油价预期,布伦特原油降至90美元/桶

GateNews

Gate News 消息,4 月 9 日,高盛下调 2026 年二季度油价预期:布伦特原油(全球原油价格基准)由 99 美元降至 90 美元/桶,WTI 原油(美国原油价格基准)由 91 美元降至 87 美元/桶。该行表示,美伊达成临时停火协议推动风险溢价回落,叠加霍尔木兹海峡运量逐步恢复,是下调预测的主要原因。受此影响,布油本周一度下跌约 11%。不过,高盛维持下半年油价预测不变,并强调供应端不确定性仍高:若中东供应中断持续、产量损失加剧,极端情景下布伦特原油或升至 115 美元/桶。此外,高盛同步下调欧洲 TTF 天然气价格预期至 50 欧元/兆瓦时,但警告若 LNG 运输受阻,气价仍可能反弹至 75 欧元以上。

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