某预测平台上"以色列在 3 月 31 日前对也门发动打击"概率升至 60%

Gate News 消息,3 月 28 日,据监测,某预测平台上"以色列在 2026 年 3 月 31 日前对也门发动打击"概率大幅上升,当前概率为 60%,过去 7 天平均概率为 18.1%。

2026 年 3 月 28 日,胡塞武装宣布向以色列南部发动了弹道导弹袭击。这是自近期伊朗与美以冲突爆发以来,胡塞武装首次直接对以色列领土采取军事行动。该组织声称打击了以色列南部的"敏感军事设施"。以色列国防军(IDF)证实监测到一枚从也门方向射来的导弹,并表示已成功将其拦截,目前暂无人员伤亡报告。

胡塞武装发言人叶海亚·萨雷亚表示,此举是为了回应美以对伊朗、黎巴嫩、伊拉克及巴勒斯坦目标的军事行动,并强调其行动将持续到"侵略停止"。胡塞武装官员近期多次发出警告,称封锁曼德海峡是其"可行选项"之一。分析人士担忧,继霍尔木兹海峡受限后,如果曼德海峡也遭到实质性封锁,将切断从中东通往欧洲和亚洲的关键石油与液化天然气(LNG)航线。

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