德意志银行:当前全球能源走势与70年代滞胀危机「惊人相似」

Gate News 消息,3 月 10 日,德意志银行研究主管 Jim Reid 在最新研报中指出,当前全球能源市场的走势与上世纪 70 年代第二次石油危机前的宏观轨迹存在「惊人相似」。报告显示,两轮风暴均发生在通胀大爆发后的 4-5 年,且震中均指向伊朗。Jim Reid 表示,「历史是否重演完全取决于这场冲突的持续时间。」

德银同时指出两个时期的关键差异:在 70 年代末,通胀预期失控,第二次石油冲击点燃了「工资-价格螺旋」,迫使央行采取激进的货币紧缩政策;而今天,即使经历了 2022-23 年的通胀飙升,长期通胀预期依然异常稳定。

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Gerelateerde artikelen

TradFi Fall Alert: USDKRW (US Dollar vs South Korean won) Falls Over 1%

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, USDKRW (US Dollar vs South Korean won) has dropped by 1% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

GateNews15u geleden

TradFi Rise Alert: US30500 (Dow Jones 30) Rises Over 1.5%

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, US30500 (Dow Jones 30) has surged by 1.5% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

GateNews17u geleden

U.S. 5-Year Treasury Yields Drop 10 Basis Points

Gate News message, April 17 — U.S. 5-year Treasury yields (benchmark measure of medium-term U.S. government borrowing rates) fell 10 basis points intraday.

GateNews17u geleden

U.S. Stock Indices Rise, Dow Jones Up 2%, Tech Stocks Gain Broadly

On April 17, U.S. stocks rose significantly, with the Dow Jones increasing by 2%, the S&P 500 by 1.12%, and the Nasdaq Composite by 1.34%. Key gainers included Boeing, Home Depot, and major tech companies like Tesla and Apple.

GateNews18u geleden

TradFi Fall Alert: XTIUSD (WTI Crude USOIL) Falls Over 8%

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, XTIUSD (WTI Crude USOIL) has dropped by 8% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

GateNews19u geleden

U.S. Dollar Spot Index Erases All Gains Since Middle East War Outbreak

Gate News message, April 17 — The U.S. Dollar Spot Index has wiped out all gains accumulated since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict.

GateNews19u geleden
Opmerking
0/400
Geen opmerkingen