3月5日消息,最新市场图表显示,XRP相对于比特币的关键技术突破仍然保持有效,其突破幅度甚至超过2024年11月大涨500%行情前的结构。多项技术指标表明,尽管加密市场近期承压,但XRP/BTC交易对仍维持在长期趋势线之上,引发部分分析师对新一轮上涨周期的讨论。
知名市场评论员Javon Marks指出,自2025年7月XRP创下约3.6美元阶段高点后,价格出现明显回调,其表现一度落后于比特币。当时XRP/BTC一度升至约0.00003070,而随着市场降温,该交易对目前回落至约0.00001959附近。由于近期市场调整中XRP跌幅略高于比特币,这也导致两者比值出现下滑。
不过,从长期技术结构来看,XRP/BTC仍处于关键突破区间之上。数据显示,该交易对在2024年11月成功突破自2018年1月以来持续压制价格的两周级别下降趋势线。当时XRP从约0.5美元快速上涨至约3.4美元,累计涨幅接近580%,同时XRP/BTC也从0.00000725升至0.00003419。虽然当前价格较高点有所回落,但仍显著高于约0.00001的历史突破位置。
Javon Marks认为,能够守住这一技术突破区间,意味着市场结构仍然保持上行潜力。历史走势也提供了类似案例。2024年4月,XRP在较小时间周期内突破一条下降趋势线后,价格曾短暂上涨至0.00000902附近。随后该交易对出现回调,并在数月时间内持续震荡,但始终未跌破关键突破区域。
随后在2024年11月,XRP迎来大幅上涨行情,距离首次突破约六个月时间。基于这一历史结构,Javon Marks认为当前两周级别的趋势突破规模更大,因此潜在上涨空间也可能更为显著。
根据其技术测算,如果历史结构再次重演,XRP/BTC可能上涨约620%,目标区域或达到0.0001410。若以比特币约7.1万美元价格作为参考,这意味着XRP理论价格可能接近10美元。分析人士指出,未来走势仍取决于整体市场资金流向、比特币趋势以及数字资产风险情绪的变化。
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