摩根士丹利:能源价格飙升阻碍降息,料欧洲央行今年将按兵不动

ChainCatcher 消息,据金十数据报道,摩根士丹利周四成为最新一家预测欧洲央行将在2026年之前维持利率不变的华尔街经纪公司,理由是中东冲突可能引发通胀风险。该华尔街经纪公司此前曾预计欧洲央行将在6月和9月进行两次降息,但现在预计央行将把这些降息举措推迟至2027年。

上个月,美银全球研究取消了其对2026年降息的预测。摩根士丹利分析师在报告中表示:“鉴于近期能源价格上涨,欧元区通胀率在今年余下时间里可能会回升至欧洲央行的目标水平之上。”分析师补充道:“到2027年,通胀可能会再次降至目标以下,但这取决于能源市场的快速正常化。”

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