HOOD两日暴跌17%、年内回撤37%:加密业务拖累下,Robinhood还能反弹68%吗?

2月13日消息,Robinhood Markets 本周因财报与加密情绪转弱双重冲击,股价在2月10日发布第四季度业绩后两个交易日内下挫近17%,今年以来累计回撤已达37%。财报显示,每股收益0.66美元,略高于预期,但营收12.8亿美元不及华尔街预估,主要原因来自加密货币交易收入骤降。

数据显示,该季度加密货币相关收入同比大幅下滑38%至2.21亿美元,交易活跃度明显减弱。市场因此担忧,这一业务短期内难以恢复,成为股价承压的核心变量。

多家机构随即下调目标价但维持评级。Truist Financial 的 David Smith 将目标价由130美元降至120美元,仍给出“买入”意见;Needham 的 John Todaro 则从135美元下调至100美元,认为预测市场是当前少有的亮点;Piper Sandler 的 Patrick Moley 把目标价从155美元调至135美元,指出若能承受波动,该公司仍是零售交易长期增长的重要标的。

公司首席财务官 Shiv Verma 表示,市场过度聚焦加密板块并不全面,去年该业务仅占总营收约18%,其余80%以上来自股票、期权及其他金融服务。他强调,公司战略聚焦活跃交易者、提升用户资产留存率,并加快全球化与机构化布局。

在增长催化方面,管理层看好预测市场、现实世界资产代币化以及人工智能工具的部署。TradePMR 的收购也被视为吸引千禧一代与Z世代的重要一步。Bernstein 的 Gautam Chhugani 认为,当前回调更像是阶段性调整,60至75美元区间具备配置吸引力。

在加密情绪低迷的背景下,HOOD短期仍面临波动,但长期增长叙事尚未被彻底否定。

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