1月22日消息，链上数据平台 Santiment 最新报告显示，XRP 价格在2026年初高点回落近20%后，市场情绪已滑入“极度恐慌”区间。当前 XRP 交投于2美元下方，散户信心明显受挫，但多项历史指标却释放出潜在反向信号，暗示一轮反弹窗口正在酝酿。
Santiment 指出，XRP 的正负情绪比率已从1月20日的1.873继续下降至约1.794，反映出市场对瑞波币前景的悲观情绪不断放大。以往数据表明，当该指标跌破关键阈值时，往往对应价格阶段性触底，因为抛压被情绪化出清，资金开始寻找低位入场机会。
本轮下跌还伴随着资金面的收缩。1月21日，美国现货 XRP ETF 出现约5300万美元的净流出，加剧了短期压力。不过，这类集中流出在历史上多次与价格转折点同时出现，为反弹提供条件。
回顾2026年1月2日，XRP 在极度恐慌环境中从前期跌幅中修复，随后价格在短时间内上涨约29%，触及2.41美元的年度高点。1月18日的情绪崩塌后，XRP 同样出现了快速回抽，一度回到2美元附近。这些案例显示，当市场一致看空时，往往为反向行情创造空间。
当前 XRP 报1.94美元，日内上涨2.11%，虽过去一周仍下跌7.5%，但已自1.8美元低位回升。随着 Brad Garlinghouse 即将在瑞士达沃斯发表讲话，市场对情绪修复的预期正在升温。若恐慌指标继续企稳，XRP 价格结构可能为下一轮上行奠定基础。
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