Q4 Woes Hit Bitcoin Hard—Can Price Rebound from Key Trendline?

Bitcoin’s Q4 performance drops below 2019 and 2022 levels, reflecting heightened volatility across crypto markets.

Weekly bullish divergence pattern is showing higher lows while RSI trends lower, indicating weakening bearish pressure and potential near-term recovery.

Structure signals a deeper corrective phase, with key support zones around $93,500 and $87,000–$83,500 under market focus.

Bitcoin prices have fallen sharply, reflecting intense market volatility and uncertainty among long-term holders. This quarter’s performance now ranks below previous notable declines and has recorded its worst Q4 performance since 2019

Historical Bitcoin Quarterly Trends

Bitcoin’s quarterly returns reveal strong seasonal patterns, with Q1 and Q4 traditionally showing the highest gains. Q1 includes explosive rallies like 2013 (+539%) and 2021 (+103%), though it has also seen major drawdowns, such as 2018 (–49%)

Q4 historically remains the most consistent quarter with an average return of +77%, featuring several triple-digit surges.Q2 has been the most unpredictable for Bitcoin, producing huge gains like 2019’s +159% but also steep losses, such as 2022’s –56%

Q3 usually has weaker performance, with average gains around +6%.

Trends from 2022 to 2025 have been increasingly volatile, while year-end momentum has historically fueled strong Q4 rallies, the current is downturned and is testing that pattern.

Technical Indicators Signal Potential Bounce

Technical charts are showing signs of a potential relief move despite current declines. Kamran Asghar tweeted about a bullish divergence on Bitcoin’s weekly chart, noting that price higher lows contrast with lower RSI lows

Bearish pressure is easing on the charts, suggesting that sellers may be losing control around support zones.The mid-$90k acts as a critical level, if Bitcoin holds this key area, it could try to climb toward previous resistance around $105k to $110k

However, a drop below the trendline could, possibly push the prices down toward the mid-$80k range.Weekly momentum measures, including the RSI, point to compressed downside movement rather than expanding bearish pressure

Historical occurrences of similar divergences during bull-market corrections have often preceded multi-week relief rallies.

Market Structure and Support Zones

Recent price movements indicate that Bitcoin has slipped below its established support channel, showing a shift in market structure. According to Ali, the breakdown that occurred near $103,500, pushed the price into a corrective phase

Bitcoin is now trading around $96,000.Two possible scenarios emerge from technical analysis. A minor rebound toward $100,500 but in case of a rejection it could push Bitcoin further down to $93,500 or even $87,000 and $83,500 in case of a deeper decline.

This market activity reflects fading bullish strength and heightened volatility after earlier rallies. Relief bounces remain possible, yet the overall directional trend leans toward continued correction unless Bitcoin regains support above $103k.

The post Q4 Woes Hit Bitcoin Hard—Can Price Rebound from Key Trendline? appears on Crypto Front News. Visit our website to read more interesting articles about cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and digital assets.